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euromarkets, petrodollars, 1980s |
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euromarkets, syndicated loans, rescheduling |
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SAPs (rescheduling) Moral Hazard, shifting conditionality |
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within congress, cleavages |
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staff, banks and G5 countries control IMF Banks have leverage --> cannot fail |
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self fulfilling (optimism and pessimism) herding (bandwagoning) contagion market manipulation 3rd generation crises - deleveraging, case for capital controls |
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contagion - financial links |
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Tesebonos, analytical liberal argument foreign currency =/= exchange arte stabilizing |
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ILLR (not IMF - no reg, slow, no standards, no ERM and no disclosure) should coordinate, not have funds --> too political |
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reserves = success goods solution, asset problem soft landing/quantitative easing |
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History of EMU 1973, 1979, 1986, 1988, 1992, 1994 Economic and political + interngovernmentalism |
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Mundell flemming - EMU not all economic Political factors: anti-inflation cred, integration, business interests NEED global governance - in trade, why not finances?
LLR for top currency |
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Bipolarity hypothesis: open capital markets = two options, hard or soft polices, float or hard peg/union. Middle not possible. |
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Statecraft and the use of Exchange rate weapon 78 - 79 EMU is counter attack |
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Euro replace? Need domestic bank regs, incumbency, no china and no Japan NEED FSF, Chaing Mai (political fail), TARP (moral hazard) |
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currencies influenced by politics confidence, liquidity, transactional networks |
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