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PERPETUAL PEACE Peace not natural: need civil constitution 1) freedom 2) common law for all 3) equality
Need league of peace (comprehensive) |
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STATE OF MAN/NATURE state of nature is falsely based on the assumption of man's nature. |
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CLASSICAL REALISM checks and balances, and political morality is prudence policies weighed by future effect on state power |
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1) anarchy 2) offensive capability 3) power maximizing 4) intentions, 5) rational fear and self help lead to security dilemma war: states think they can win, states balance capability, not intention
without security, cannot pursue other goals. |
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self-help is a SOCIAL CONSTRUCTION socialization dictates behaviour, to change the system, you need stable change in tandem |
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UNIPOLARITY can mitigate free-riding, often cause own demise |
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liberal pacifism: people rational, homogenized, needs best met through trade, therefore won't fight. (1816 - 1965)
liberal imperialism: people have dif goals, but all want glory and expansion. not historically consistent
liberal internationalism: 1) civil constitution, 2) non-aggression, 3) hospitality - people don't want to carry the burden of war |
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mistrust = deviation security allows margin of conflict |
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institutions reflect beliefs of actors realism: necessary for US hegemony liberalism: interdependence meant needed institution constructivism: Europe recovered, order remained
externalities mitigated by government. w/o government need coase. coase impossible = collective action problem. regimes try to fix this
bounded rationality: rules efficient, limit sovereignty for security |
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TAN shared values pressure governments, 5X as many since 1950s. use information politics, Argentina Junta realism cannot account for TAN influence state behaviour |
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when world plays on goliath's terms, goliath wins |
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war is a continuation of policy through other means. war not an end, therefore inherently political |
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diplomacy is bargaining, each side has something other wants and cooperation will get more than combat
coercive diplomacy: violence/hurting = accommodation
coercion vs force: taking versus someone gives you most effective when not used. |
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war costly, should exist bargaining space 1) misrepresent, misinformation 2) mistrust commitment problems 3) indivisibility
does't look at irrationality |
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humanity expanding, multilateral intervention now only legitimate intervention NORMS |
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US needs to offer iran incentives to eliminate nuclear program, if rejected, grounds for legitimate coercion and deterrence |
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Long term trend towards economic integration that will continue because of mutual benefits |
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Bilateral negotiations could be worse than institutions 1) minimal impact, 2) capture of investors/developing, 3) internal dysfunctions 4) accountability |
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terrorism is costly signalling to:
- regime change
- territorial change
- policy change
- social control
- status quo alteration
methods: ASPOI
- Attrition (AQ to US)
- Spoiling
- Provocation (AQ make local population sympathize)
- Outbidding
- Intimidation
democracies are the best targets |
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secular versus islam promulgated through globalization |
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human security and hybrid warfare relevant today 1) globalization backlash 2) globalized insurgency 3) islamic civil war (AQ capitalized) 4) asymmetric warfare (only way to fight)
AQ: infection, contagion, intervention, rejection |
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human rights is shared humanity cultural imperialism, 'western' humanity nation/culture bad unit of analysis, doesn't look at internal dissidents |
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resource curse rich country, poor people |
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peacekeeping works needs to be requested and able to use force |
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pragmatism/amnesties = peace settlements powerful individuals remain allies weak institutions, no victory, strong actors = amenities > trials |
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tragedy of commons common pool goods too many people inaction = action |
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culture: highest unit of cultural identity short of species, not sharp but distinct 1) mutually exclusive, 2) globalization, 3) weakening nation state 4) backlash 5) indivisibility
west vs rest: 1) isolation 2) join 3) balance |
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1) benevolent hegemony 2) manichaen primitivism 3) regime type 4) efficacy violence fear preceded policy, fear drove the fight
security threats: discourage dissent, bring people together, policy entrepreneurs |
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sadaam afraid within, scared or Iran didn't think US could absorb cost everything he did looked worse (cleaning up, hiding from UN) |
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