Term
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Definition
Method for estimating cost for each work packet in WBS. Costs rolled up for progressively higher levels within WBS, plus add overhead costs, for total cost. |
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Bottom-Up Estimating Advantages and Disadvantages |
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Definition
Most accurate & gives lower-level managers more responsibility, but requires the most detail, challenging, time, and costly. |
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When use Bottom-Up Cost Estimating |
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Definition
Later on in project life cycle, when have more detail, need more accuracy required, and have time to invest in estimates. Use with work packages with highest level of uncertainty. Weigh need for accuracy of estimate with cost of doing the estimate. |
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Definition
Use project's characteristics in mathematical model. Statistical analysis of historical information using scope, duration, cost, & budget as parameters. Accuracy is as good as the data used in it. |
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Analogous estimating advantages & disadvantages |
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Definition
Can ensure no work is inadvertently omitted from work estimates. Can sometimes be difficult for lower-level managers to apportion cost estimates. |
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Parametric advantages & disadvantages |
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Definition
Is not time consuming. May be inaccurate, depending on the integrity of the historical information used. |
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Accurately estimating costs important because... |
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Definition
...avoid overruns and unforeseen expenditures. Help create a strong cost baseline, which will be used to measure cost performance. |
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Why developing Cost Estimates & Budgets important? |
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Definition
Deliver projects on time and on budget. Monitor progress against expectations. Meet expectations and deliver desired results. |
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Term
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Definition
Projecting total expenditures necessary for the completion of the project. Provide a basis for making sound decisions about a project, and establish base lines against which success of project can be measured. Involves ID different cost alternatives, and may need different methods for different phases of project. |
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Choosing a cost estimating method based on: |
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Definition
-S/W availability -Team member experience -Project life cycle phase -Time constraints -Project definition -Personal preference |
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Term
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Definition
Scope baseline Project schedule Human resource plan Risk register Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets |
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Estimate Costs input: Scope baseline |
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Definition
Includes approved detailed project scope statement along with assoc WBS & WBS dictionary. |
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Definition
contains relevant information, such as project requirements, constraints, assumptions, and deliverables. |
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Definition
Provides the relationship b/n individual project components and deliverables |
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Definition
WBS dict, along with statement of work, provide specific details of work activities and deliverables |
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Estimate cost input: Project schedule |
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Definition
Includes start and finish dates for each activity, and details of resources along with the time needed for them to complete project work that will incur project cost. |
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Estimate cost input: Human resource plan |
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Definition
includes components necessary for developing cost estimates such as the project staffing attributes, personnel rates, and its related rewards and recognitions. |
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Estimate costs input: Risk register |
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Definition
Risks that have an impact on cost |
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Estimate costs input: Enterprise environmental factors |
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Definition
External factors, such as market trends, unavoidable budget restructuring, or commercial financial analysis may affect cost estimation. |
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Estimate costs input: Organizational process assets |
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Definition
Intra-organizational cost estimating policies or templates, team experience, or data from old projects. |
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Tools & Techniques to Estimate Costs |
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Definition
Expert judgment Analogous estimating Parametric estimating Bottom-up estimating Three-point estimate Reserve analysis Cost of Quality (COQ) Project management estimating software Vendor bid analysis |
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Estimate cost tech: Expert judgment |
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Definition
Variable such as labor costs, material costs, inflation, and risk factors can influence cost estimates. Expert judgment along with historical information will provide an insight on the information related to prior similar projects. |
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Term
Estimate costs technique: Analogous estimating |
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Definition
Uses the cost of a previous project with similar scope or activities to predict the cost of future activities. |
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Estimate cost technique: Three-point estimate |
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Definition
Incorporates three types of estimates into a singular cost estimate scenario: most likely, optimistic, & pessimistic. |
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Estimate cost technique: Reserve analysis |
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Definition
Contingency funds that are built into a cost estimate for as-yet unknown costs. Reserve analyses run the risk of inflating a cost estimate. |
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Term
Estimate cost technique: COQ |
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Definition
Cost of Quality: A technique that focuses on the cost of ensured quality. Peripheral costs include quality planning, control, and assurance. |
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Term
Tool: Project management estimating software |
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Definition
simplifies the cost estimation process, can accelerate estimation time, and is applicable to most projects, regardless of scale or scope. |
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Tech: Vendor bid analysis |
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Definition
cost estimation based on the responsive bids obtained from vendors. results must often be revisited once contract approval has been gained. |
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Term
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Definition
Activity cost estimates Basis of estimates Project document updates |
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Term
Output: Activity cost estimates |
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Definition
Provide estimates on probably costs necessary to finish project work. This includes costs on direct labor, materials, equipment, facilities, services, information technnology, contingency reserves, or indirect costs, if any. |
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Output: Basis of estimates |
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Definition
Supporting or additional information needed to justify the cost estimates. Details can include project scope, justification for the estimate, range of estimates, the assumptions, constrains, confidence level on the estimate, and expected range of estimates. |
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Output: Project document updates |
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Definition
may include: the risk register, HR plan, activity list, project schedule, and training plans. |
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Term
Type or Level of Accuracy |
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Definition
Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM) Budgetary Range of estimate Approximate estimate Definitive estimate (or "control" or "detailed") Phased estimate (or "rolling wave" or "moving window") |
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Term
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Definition
Rough Order of Magnitude: Generally made early in the project. Developed without basis of detailed data and often based on v high level historical data, expert judgment, or a costing model. Accuracy: -50% to +100%. |
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Type of Accuracy: Budgetary |
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Definition
Often used for appropriation purposes. Accuracy: -10 to +25% |
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Type of Accuracy: Range of estimate |
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Definition
Often used as an alternative to ROM where the accuracy of the estimate is not well known. Rather than $10M +-30%, the estimate could be stated as $7.5M to $13M. Accuracy: +-35%. |
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Type of Accuracy: Approximate estimate |
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Definition
Based on more information than ROM estimates, but still lacks the detail required for high accuracy. May be possible if the project is similar to previous ones with reliable historical data for costing or where a proven costing model is applicable. Accuracy: +-15%. |
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Term
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Definition
(or "control" or "detailed") Based on detailed information about the project work. Developed by estimating the cost for each work package in the WBS. Accuracy: -5% to +10%. |
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Term
Type of Accuracy: Phased estimate |
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Definition
or "rolling wave" or "moving window" Allows the use of ROM or approx estimates for some later parts of the work, while work that must be done earlier in the project life cycle is estimated at the definitive level. Accuracy: +-5% to +-15% in the window closest to present time; +-34% farther in the future. |
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Term
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Definition
Top-down estimating. Use experience, historical info, and expert judgment. Generated for top levels of WBS and aportioned across and then down levels of WBS. |
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Use Analogous estimating when... |
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Definition
-limited amt of detailed info about the project is available -a similar project for comparison can be employed -requisite expertise is provided |
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How to Estimate Costs Guidelines |
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Definition
-Involvement -Information -Technique -Options -Units of measure -Risks -Accounts -Cost estimates |
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Definition
Involve the work package owners |
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Definition
Gather any relevant input information that may help you prepare the estimates, such as estimating publications and resource rates. |
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Term
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Definition
Determine the estimate technique to be used. |
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Term
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Definition
Look for alternative costing options |
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Guideline: Units of Measure |
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Definition
Determine the units of measure that will be used. |
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Definition
Consider possible risks that may impact cost |
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Term
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Definition
Ensure that all cost estimates are assigned to the appropriate account, according to the chart of accounts. |
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Term
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Definition
Ensure that all cost estimates are assigned to the appropriate account, according to the chart of accounts. |
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Term
Guideline: Cost estimates |
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Definition
Make sure your cost estimates include key elements. |
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Term
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Definition
Time-phased budget that will measure that will monitor cost performance throughout the project lift cycle. -Developed by adding estimated costs of cost components by period. -Typically includes budget contingency to accommodate risk of unexpected costs hat may come up. |
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Term
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Definition
Allocating overall cost estimates to individual activities across project life cycle. Purpose is to develop a budget and baseline to measure project's cost performance. |
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Term
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Definition
-Activity cost estimates -Basis of estimates -Scope baseline -Project Schedule -Resource calendars -Contracts -Organizational process assets |
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Term
Budget Input: Activity cost estimates |
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Definition
Cost estimates for each activity are added together to create an overall cost estimate for the work package. |
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Term
Budget Input: Basis of estimates |
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Definition
Supporting information required to justify the activity cost estimates should be specified. Assumptions made to the addition or exclusion of indirect project costs made to the project budget are to be mentioned in the basis of estimates. |
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Term
Budget Input: Basis of estimates |
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Definition
Supporting information required to justify the activity cost estimates should be specified. Assumptions made to the addition or exclusion of indirect project costs made to the project budget are to be mentioned in the basis of estimates. |
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