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Distinctive in substance, and in approach - deals with empirical analysis,domestic systems, and foreign systems - can be compared across space, time and groups |
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A statement that links causes and consequences, answers why and how, and is not a mere description |
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Methodology of Comparative Politics |
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Why do we compare? what do we compare? how do we compare? |
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To explain rather than describe facts - recognizing relevant facts to give context in differences being compared |
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test hypothesis and build theories, make causal inferences, - posses objectivity, rigor and logic. |
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Cause and effect, a statement formulated for the purpose of explaining whether or not a relationship exists between two observations or facts. - hypothesis is a statement that attempts to explain cause and effect. - must be testable and falsifiable |
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Independant Variable or explanatory variable - Cause Dependant Variable - Effect or Outcome |
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Political operationalizing Variables |
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variables that constitute regime type - electoral freedom, media freedom, majoritarian or PR, Unitary or Federal, level of human rights, etc. |
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Economic operationalizing variables |
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GDP, GDP per capita, GDP per capita PPP, income equality, specific economic sectors (agriculture, manufacturing, energy) % public ownership, inflation, taxation |
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social operationalizing variables |
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nutrition, healthcare, education, life expectancy, quality of life, infant mortality,j population distribution |
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Correlation and Causation
Question? |
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Q: does economic growth cause democratization? |
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Across space, time, and groups. |
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Lihpjardt (1971) paper: 4 scientific methods - experimental - statistical / quantatative - case study / qualitative - comparative |
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the transition from an authoritarian political system to a democratic political system |
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why and how does democratization take place - causes? and Conditions? |
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Substantive view of democracy |
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when democracy is determined by its outcome - Rousseau: does it reflect the common will? does it reflect economic justice, freedom, civil liberties? |
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procedural view of deomocracy |
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democracy is the continuing responsiveness of the government to the preferences of its citizens |
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democracy is the process for selecting government to reflect the preferences of its citizens |
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- interests or choices as the reflect to government or public policy - assumes individuals are rational actors and can choose between alternatives - assumes that preferences can be ranked |
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Citizens rights in democracy |
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full oppurtunity to - formulate preferences, signify their preferences through single or collective action, have their preferences weighed equally |
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key dimensions in democratic process |
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Contestation (liberalization) and participation (inclusiveness) |
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what makes democratization |
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the increase in contestation and/ or participation |
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a political power exerted by one dominant group over other groups |
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power structure in which a select "elite" or small group has dominant control of government. |
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What changes are seen in operationalizing variables when government democratizes towards a polyarchy? |
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Polychotomous approach: democracy |
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Dahl's perspective - measures democracy as a continuum or some countries are more democratic than others |
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dichotomous approach : democracy |
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Pzerworski, and Shumpeter perspective - democracy either IS or IS NOT |
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"democracy is no more than an arrangement or mechanism for people to elect leaders or policy makers in a competitive manner" |
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How is Dichotomous approach different |
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- clear criterion for identifying democracy - emphasiszes role of leaders more than people - stresses inter-elite competition rather than participation (inclusiveness) - only right people have is to re-elect or evict government periodically |
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challenge of dependent variable - depends on question trying to be answered |
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polychotomous approach - dahl's democracy as a continuum |
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Dichotoumous approach: democracy exists or it does not. - Pzeworski and Shumpeter |
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does democracy produce undemocratic results? |
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system of social, economic, and political rules - different from 'government' or 'administration' |
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- wrote article on non-democratic regimes - beyond 3-part distinction: democracy, authoritarian, totalitarian - creates criterion for identifying type of non-democratic regime |
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prior regime type determines: |
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- transition path - challenges upon democratization |
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establish type of regime and how they are different from democracy and each other - pluralism, mobilization, ideology, and leadership |
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political - contestation and participation Social - freedom to organize economic - free market, capitalist |
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liberal freedoms, process, no overtly stated final purpose |
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free to organize, opposition allowed |
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freely elected, subject to rule of law |
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Pluralism - totalitarian regime |
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no political, economic, or social freedoms |
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mobilization - totalitarian regime |
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intensive and extensive mobilization |
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ideology - totalitarian regime |
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explicit utopian ideology |
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Leadership - totalitarian regime |
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Charismatic leader with arbitrary use of power |
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Pluralism - post-totalitarian |
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ideology - post-totalitarian |
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weakened ideology or less faith towards utopian society. |
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Mobilization - post-totalitarian |
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less intense and less extensive |
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Leadership - post-totalitarian |
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more bureaucratic or technocratic |
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None, except for absolutism |
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Personalistic, or unrestrained |
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Authoritarian - Pluralism |
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limited with 'distinctive mentalities' |
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Mobilization - authoritarian |
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Leadership - Authoritarian |
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one leader, small elite; predictability |
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Post-totalitarian example |
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Napolean France and Kim Jong Il North Korea |
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PRI in Mexico and post WW1 spain |
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3 democratization theories |
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Modernization Theory - does not take prior regime types in to account Culturalist Theory - does not do so explicitly or directly Strategic Elites - does take in to account prior regime type |
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A self-governing, stateless cooperative society - common ownership of wealth, communal organization of social life |
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Written in 1848 by Karl Marx and Frederich Engels |
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Communist Mannifesto States |
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: The inevitable rise of proletariat and revolution to overthrow capitalists - history develops in stages, each stage characterized by economic structure and class development - teleological and deterministic view of history |
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Marx and Engels determined progression towards communism |
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Tribal society --> ancient society --> feudal society --> capitalist society --> socialism --> communism |
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"the history of all hithetro society is the history of class struggles." |
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the existence of classes - only bound in particular, historic phases of the development of production |
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Dictatorship of the proletariat - class struggle leads to this |
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abolition of all classes in to a classless society - result from transition with the dictatorship of proletariat |
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- leader of vanguard party - led bolshevik revolution in 1917 |
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created state collectivization and rapid industrialization |
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established socialism one country at a time |
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concentrated power in to party and with himself |
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where marx said there was a progression, Mao believes society can skip capitalism. |
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mobilization of peasants, guerrilla warfare of urbanites, deep suspicion of intellectuals |
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Great Leap Forward (1958 - 1961) Cultural Revolution (1966 - 1976) |
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The Reality of the Communist State |
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Based on Belief that a stateless, hierarchical party in state can speed up socialism |
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The Reality of the Communist State: characteristics 1 |
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political system - consolidation of power - democratic centralism |
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The Reality of the Communist State: characteristics 2 |
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Economic System - non-capitalist ownership - command economy |
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The Reality of the Communist State: characteristics 3 |
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Ideological sphere - Goal - Oriented - International movement |
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Analytical perspectives: 4 |
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Culturalist, structuralist, institutionalist, process |
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- Stresses contextual meanings and ideas - Unit of analysis, group or whole of society - behavior based in deep seated notions, and difficult to change |
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Huntington (1991) - culturalist |
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questions focus on identity, values, historical experience, uniqueness, "path dependancy" |
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Structuralist Perspective |
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- stresses relationship between individuals or groups; how they are positioned in a system or oranization (relative power) - economic and social frameworks are fairly inflexible |
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Lipset (1959) - structuralist |
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questions focus on historical dynamics, prerequisite conditions, and distribution of power |
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Institutionalist Perspective |
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-Focuses on Formal and Informal rules and conventions are institutions - emphasis on individuals and groups - institutions or flexible in long-run and not as much in short run |
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Institutionalist perspective - 2
Linz and Stepan (1996) Barbara Geddes (2004) |
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- individuals or groups adapt actions towards institutions - focuses on incentives, perspectives may change in long-run |
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Process-Oriented Perspective |
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- Pzerworski (1991) - Stresses Rational, strategic actors with clear perspectives who behave deliberately to maximize their own self-interest - emphasis on individual - analyzes behavior rather than ideas |
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Process-Oriented Perspective : Questions |
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questions tend to focus on collective action, choices; institutional rules are the result of benefiting those in power |
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Lipset - Structuralist
- Question: what are the conditions necessary to bring democratization? |
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What definition of Democracy does lipset use? |
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- a response to comparative - historical analysis |
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What is Lipset's Hypothesis |
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The more well-to-do a nation is, the better chance of creating and sustaining democracy. - what is independant variables? - what is dependant variables? |
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Indices of Economic development; 4 |
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- Wealth - Industrialization - Urbanization - Education : each indices is interrelated and interdependent |
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What results of economic development make it compatible with features of democracy? |
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- Large Middle-class, less inequality; more moderation - more education; more rational, more tolerant - more material security; government cannot threaten life chances, redistribution less dramatic - wealth encourages universalistic norms development or modernality is associated with rationality |
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Key causal mechanisms modernization theory |
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economic development changes values. it produces a secular political culture and an integrated national culture |
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economic development leads to a more complex associational life on two fronts: |
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- division of labor - greater degree of social organization : de toqueville |
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economic development leads to cross cutting cleavages. |
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Economic Development and democratization |
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- economic development is both necessary and sufficient for democratization. |
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implications of economic development |
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- democratization is a sequential process - economic development and democracy is linear and evolutionary - democracy is uttainable for all societies. |
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Structuralist perspective |
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Linz and Stepan framework |
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focus on institutionalist perspective |
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Process-oriented approach |
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institutionalist perspective |
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causal mechanisms of Modernization Theory |
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economic development changes values. it produces a secular political culture, and an integrated national culture. |
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when is democratization apparent |
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it is unclear when democratization takes place |
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is modernization theory to linear? |
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too many examples of of hybrid/unstable regimes |
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does economic development cause and sustain democracy |
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many regime reversal occur at low levels of development |
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where is modernization theory more correct? |
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empirical evidence suggest theory holds true for W. Europe |
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Modifications to Modernization Theory |
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Huntington - intermediate levels of development are destabilizing O'Donnell - type of development matters |
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that culture is the major impediment towards democratization - absence of commitment towards democratic values |
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More Restrictive Version Less Restrictive Version - Huntington has to show how Confucian and Islamic cultures are opposed to democratic ideals - and that these values impede democratization |
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Confucianism and how it's antidemocratic |
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- lack tradition of individual rights - harmony is preferred over competition - conflict seen as dangerous and illegitimate |
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arguments supporting confucians can have democracy |
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- holds high standard of morality and benevolent leadership - favors seperation of the political and the personal - more of a personal ethic than personal attitude |
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Reasons Islam is undemocratic |
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there is no distinction between religion and the state, and laws are created because political leaders are also religious leaders. |
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culturalist have not held up over time - catholics have become democratic Cultures are dynamic and can change |
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O'Donnell and Schmitter - Strategic elites approach |
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there is no transition whose outcome is the consequence - direct or indirect - of important divisions within the authoritarian regime itself, primarily along the fluctuating cleavage of hardliners and softliners. |
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Prior Regime --> liberalization of auth. rules --> breakdown / transition (rules in flux) --> Democratization (new rules) or Reversal (old / new auth. rules) |
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- oppurtunists - concerned with political survival - concerned with retaining share of spoils - reject 'disorders' of democracy |
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- seek some regime legitimacy - seek to control liberalization - seek personal advantage |
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Game of Strategy: stage 1 |
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Authoritarian regime : stage 1 - if regime is strong no change - if regime is weakened some liberalization |
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Stage 2 authoritarian regime in crisis |
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as liberalization occurs, what happens or who stops it? - liberalization --> liberalization halts - liberalization --> reversal - liberalization --> liberalization proceeds |
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Stage 3 authoritarian regime in crisis |
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Popular dissent if: - low --> no further change - Moderate --> negotiated pact - high --> reversal / revolution / regime defeat |
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a central task (for actors) is to limit the uncertainty of the political transition and the subsequent democratization in order to facilitate COMPROMISE. - often that means no redistribution of power and economic resources |
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O'Donnell and Schmitter on negotiated pacts |
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suggested that negotiated pacts are the most likely route to democratization |
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an explicit agreement on rules that guarantee the vital interests of parties involved |
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highly unpredictable because it involves the strategic calculations of different actors acting under conditions of uncertainty |
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Linz and Stepan: on negotiated pacts |
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neither theoretically nor historically do transitions have to involve pacts. - pacts can range from very democratic to very non-democratic either in intention or consequence or both |
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Linz and Stepan: on negotiated pacts 2 |
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pacts can fall apart - they require organizational and ideological capacity to form a grand coalition - they require the allegiance of followers to the terms of the pact |
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Linz and Stepan: on negotiated pacts 3 |
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in addition pacts require at least four players in game. - hardliners - softliners - opposition moderates - opposition radicals (sometimes involve the military) |
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Totalitarian - likelihood for negotiated pact |
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highly improbable cause civil society does not exist |
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Post-Totalitarian - likelihood for negotiated pact |
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possible because some level of civil society exists so a moderate opposition is likely |
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Sultanistic - likelihood for negotiated pact |
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unlikely because softliners unlikely to have power and moderate opposition will be weak |
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Authoritarian - likelihood for negotiated pact |
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possible because some level of civil society exists so moderate opposition is likely |
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Pzerworski (1991) on democracy |
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organized uncertainty - democracy is institutionalized " from the point of view of each participant... dice are thrown to see what outcomes are." |
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decisive step towards democracy |
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the devolution of power from a group of people to a set of rules |
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According to Pzerworski why would groups comply with outcomes |
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- groups have long term horizon - security from arbitrary violence - institutions matter (winner does not earn a permanent advantage) |
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According to Pzerworski why would groups comply with outcomes 2 |
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Self-enforcement - self-interested strategic compliance is plausible and sufficient - democracy is an equilibrium; a system of self-government |
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Barbara Geddes (2004) Negotiated Pacts vs. civil protests |
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Negotiated pacts seem to occur in South America and civil protests occur more in E. Europe and Africa instead of pacts. |
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Authoritarian institutions |
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shape the identity and interests of regime supporters |
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Authoritarian institutions: Assumptions |
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- different politicians want to achieve office and remain there, for varying reasons - best survival strategy is to satisfy supporters |
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Military - dominated, Single-party regime, and Personalistic regime |
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Military regime Interests / preferences |
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- desire to maintain hierarchy, dicipline, cohesiveness in military - autonomy from civilian intervention - territorial integrity and civil disorder - sufficient corporate budget |
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military regime - greatest threat |
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Military Regime: strategic calculation |
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"Battle of the Sexes" - credible first mover advantage - all officers must pursue the same course |
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Military Regime: cause of transition |
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- most susceptible to internal disintegration - in crisis negotiated pact is most likely |
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Single Party Regime: Interests and preferences |
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- leaders want to maintain power (to control policy, to hold power, to make material gains) - they value survival and unity of the part as a means to stayin in office |
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Single Party Regime: Strategic calculation |
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- everyone is better off united and in office - co-optation is preferred over exclusion |
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Single Party Regime: cause of transition |
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- cadres keep heads down and ride out leadership split; want to keep party in power - most enduring and institutionalized; usually collapse from external crisis - in crisis, some liberalization is most likely |
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Personalist Regime: Interests / preferences |
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- personalist clique depends solely on leaders good will - wants to maintain his power |
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Personalist Regime: Strategic calculation |
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- ruling clique wants to maintain minimum winning coalition - exclusion of rival faction is more likely |
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Personalist Regime: cause of transition |
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- collapse of coalition with death of leader or violent overthrow - followers subject to marginalization, followers have narrow support base - in crisis, actors have fewest options |
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Empirical outcomes of 3 regimes |
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Military regime (9 years) - South America and southern europe Single-party regimes (23 years) - Eastern Europe Personalist Regime (15 years) - Africa |
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