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the investment decision is made without regard to one more more alternative projects |
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mutually exclusive project |
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several alternative project choices are available of which only one will be selected. -each independent project alternative must be fundable as an investment project |
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a process for making prudent capital investment decision based on timing and risk characteristics of available projects prudence- NPV of projects cash flows are positive |
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good capital budgeting steps- |
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1. estimate cashf lows 2. asses riskiness of CFs 3. determine WACC 4. Find NPV and IRR 5. Accept NPV if grater than 0 or if IRR is greater than WACC |
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a good capital budgeting system |
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must tie into the firms long range strategic planning process- it chooses the direction of the firms business- including financing, production, marketing and research - tie into a procedure for measurement of performence expost- |
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methods of capital budgeting |
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payback discounted payback NPV IRR MIRR profitability index |
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number of years required to recover a projects cost
-never use paybacks to choose among mutually exclusive projects -pick shortest payback period |
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provides indication of projects liquidity- measures how long investment will be tied up -easy to calculate and understand |
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ignores the TVM -ignores risk -ignores cfs occuring after payback period -terrible for mutually exclusive project selection |
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uses discounted rather than raw CFs |
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strengths of discounted payback |
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provides indication of a projects liquidity: measures how long a project will be tied up -easy to calculate and understand -accounts for TVM and risk during payback period |
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weaknesses of discounted payback |
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ignores cfs occurring after payback period |
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profits that more than cover the opportunity cost of capital. Generally temporary- the case of an industy not yet in a long run equilibrium |
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The NPV of an investment is simply the discounted value of |
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sustainable economic rents: comparative advantage competitors may not be able to enter market due to |
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barriers to entry -a firm may not have a patent, properitary technology, or production cost advantage -firm may have a contractual advantage with a supplier or distributer
1. cost advantage 2. differentiation advantage 3. focus |
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discount rate that makes NPV 0 |
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decision rules for independent projects |
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if IRR>WACC -accept (means project return is greater than its costs) if IRR< WACC- reject |
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always go with NPV- IRR is considered more intuitive |
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NPV profile incorporates NPV and IRR
shows the sensitivity of the value of the project to the return on the project
its the plot of the npv of a project for different levesl of WACC |
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accept when cost of capital is less than IRR |
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accept when NPV>0 which only occurs when the cost of capital is less than IRR |
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move all cash flows out to the present at a discount rate of WACC -move all revenues to the project termination -find a discount rate, MIRR that makes these two values equal to present value
MIRR provides the true rate of return on a project -fixes the multiple IRR problem
MIRR doesnt fix the multually exclusive problems of IRR |
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if IRR>WACC- accept project if IRR |
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the return required by the provider of that capital -opportunity cost -rate of return investors are willing to provide financing |
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required rate of return depends on |
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business risk financial risk |
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business risk is determined by |
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-demand and sales price variability -imput cost variability -innovation -forigen, political, and echange risk exposure -opperating leverage |
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trade off of FC vs. VC of production -high FC- high operating leverage -low FC- low operating leverage |
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debt in capital structure acts as what kind of cost |
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the greater the D/V ratio- what happens to shareholders risk |
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affects the cost of capital and the equity beta- its affect is on non diversifiable risk |
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unleveraged equity is sensitive to what kind of risk |
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leveraged equity is sensitive to what kind of risk |
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both business and financial risk |
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standard measurement of a firms capital -includes debt and equity suppliers of capital will demand a RR that is proportional to risk |
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source of risk, amount of risk an asset has required return an asset must earn for its risk |
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assets covariance with market portffolio of all assets |
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is the amount of assets covariance with the market portfolio |
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when estimating the firms cost of debt |
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the historical cost of debt is irrelevant
cost of debt is observable- --yield on currently outstanding debt --yields on newly issued similarly rated bonds |
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in perfect capital markets financial leverage has what kind of affect on the WACC |
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independent of capital structures |
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if the firm uses WACC to evaluate new projects it wwill do what with accepting and rejecting |
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Accept negative NPV projects of above average risk Reject positive projects with below average risk |
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1. single line business firm 2. estimate equity beta 3. deliver beta for each pure player 4. estimate projects BsubA (find average) 5. calculate rsuba=risk free rate +beta (risk premium) 6. calculate WACC= rsubA (1-T) |
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relevant capital structure- use the whole firm- not how any specific project is financed exceptions are subsidiary and the parent is a major shareholder. |
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is NPV higher with straight line or MACRS |
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methods for decision between 2 projects with different times |
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-replacment chain/common life - equivalent annual annuity (EAA) analysis |
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do you pick the the higher or lower EAA |
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when comparing over common do you pick the higher or lower PV with regard to EAC |
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use real or nominal dollars with EAC |
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EAC is really just ____ with rev left out- follow by the annuitiziaion of NPV |
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what decisions do managers need to account for with capital investment decisions |
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1. expansion of investments in new plant and equipment for new activities and operations 2. replacement investment to keep existing plant and equipment operational |
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EAC (EAA) analysis involves 2 steps |
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Definition
1. calculate the PV(NPV) for a cycle 2. annuitize that PV (NPV) over a cycle to get the EAC(EAA) |
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EAC analysis may be viewed as EAA with revenues set to ___ |
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rate of growth in the asset or the rate of increase in cash flows is _____ with time |
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Capital rationing results when |
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a firm places limits on the amount of cash available for new investments by a department, division, or subsidiary |
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Definition
limit the ability of corporations to raise funds in capital markets at fair prices |
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associated with issuing securities may limit the amount of funds that a coproation can and is willing to raise in the market |
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results from managmenet and organizational issues |
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career minded divisional managers- |
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fighting for capital from coproate may overstate their investment opportunities- agency cost |
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.1 options for abandon 2. options to derfer/wait/learn/postpone 3. options to expand/follow on 4. options to extend 5. options to vary output/switch production methods |
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Definition
the associated accelerated deprecition is calculated as a percentage of the depreciable basis |
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under MACRS assumed project is bought in the middle of the year |
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straight line depreciation |
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occurs under the tax code |
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incremental cash flows equation |
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corporate cfs with project- corporate cfs without the project |
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positive if new projects are complements to exisitng projects and negative is subsititues |
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things that change analysis |
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1. replacement of old equipment 2. erosion/canibalism 3. opporunity cost |
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do you include dividends or interest expense in cfs |
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no they are already included |
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Term
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putting one more more types of limits on the amoutn you can spend on capital budgeting projects |
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