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the act of choosing one alternative from among a set of alternatives |
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- the process of recognizing and defining the nature of a decision situation, identifying alternatives, choosing the "best" alternative, and putting it into practice - an effective decision is on that optimizes some set of factors such as profits, sales, employee welfare, and market share - managers make decisions about both problems and opportunities. |
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- a decision that is a fairly structured decision or recurs with some frequency or both |
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a decision that is relatively unstructured and occurs much less often than a programmed decision. |
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programmed decisions nonprogrammed decisions |
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decision making conditions |
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- decision making under certainty - decision making under risk - decision making under uncertainty |
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decision making under certainty |
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a condition in which the decision maker knows with reasonable certainty what the alternatives are and what conditions are associated with each alternative |
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decsion making under risk |
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the availability of each alternative and its potential payoffs and costs are all associated with risks |
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decision making under uncertainty |
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a condition in which the decision maker does not know all the alternatives, the risks associated with each, ot the consequences of each alternative. |
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factors that prevent rationality |
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- lack of consensus - unclear means-end relations - noisy environment |
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- there must be a general agreement of the definition of problems, decisions, and decision-maaking goals at the beginning |
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unclear means-end relations |
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it is impossible to generate an exhaustive list of alternatives then select the most promising |
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the link between outcome and actions is hard to predict. |
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behavioral aspects of decision making |
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bounded rationality satisficing coalition intuition escalation of commitment risk propensity ethics. |
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the concept that decision makers are limited by their values and unconsious reflexes, skills, and habits |
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the tendency to search for alternatives only until one is found that meets some minimum standard of sufficiency to resolve the problem |
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a political force in decision making which consists of an informal alliance of individuals or groups formed to achieve a goal. |
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an innate belief about something without conscious consideration |
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a decsion maker is staying with a decsion even when it appears to be wrong |
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the extent to which a decision maker is willing to gamble when making a decision. |
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initial probability given no other information. |
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ethics and decision making |
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individual ethics (personal beliefs about rigth and wrong behavior) combine with the organizations ethics to creat manageral ethics |
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- relationships of the firm to employees - empoyees to the firm - the firm to other economic agents. |
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forms of group decision making |
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interaction groups or tems delphi graoups nominal groups brainstorming |
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interaction groups or teams |
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Definition
the most common form of decision-making groups which consists of an existing group or newly formed team interaction and then making a decision |
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are sometimes used for developing a consensus of expert opinion from a panel of experts who individually contribute through a moderator |
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a structured technique designed to generate creative and innovative ideas through the individual contributions of alternatives that are winnowed down through a series of rank-ordering of the alternatives to reach a decision |
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- criticism is not allowed -free-wheeling is welcome -quantity is encouraged -combination and improvement are sought |
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disadvantages of group and team decision making |
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groupthing compliance choice shifte |
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the groups desire for consensus and cohesiveness overwhelms its desire to reach the best decision |
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ppl conform to others expectation or behaviours in the hope of acquiring rewards or avoiding punishment |
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tendency for groups to make decision that appear more extreme than the decsions group member wouldd have on their own. |
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ways managers can promote the effectiveness of group and team decision making |
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Definition
- being aware of the pros and cons of having a group or team make a decision - setting deadlines for when decisions must be made - avoid problems with dominace by managing group membership - have each group member individually critically evaluate all alterantives - as a manager, do not make your position know too early - appoint a group member to be a "devel's advocate" - hold a follow-up meeting to recheck the decision |
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