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Lecture 9 and 10 - Portfolios
Diversification
39
Finance
Undergraduate 3
05/09/2014

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Term
Definition of Risk
Definition
The uncertainty of future outcomes
Term
How is risk Measured?
Definition
By the probability of an adverse outcome (40% you will receive a return less than stated return) - Standard Deviation
Term
Advantages of Standard Deviation
Definition
1.  This measure is somewhat intuitive
2.  It is a correct and widely recognized risk measure
3. It has been used in most of the theoretical asset pricing models
Term
How to calculate the expected return of an individual asset
Definition
It is equal to the sum of the potential returns multiplied with the corresponding probability of the returns
Term
How to calculate the expected return of a portfolio
Definition
It is equal to the weighted average of the expected rates of return for the individual investments in the portfolio
Term
Variance
Definition
a measure of the variation of possible rates of return Ri, from the expected rate of return [E(Ri), where Pi is the probability of the possible rate of return, Ri
Term
Covariance
Definition
A measure of the degree to which two variables “move together” relative to their individual mean values over time
Term
Covariance Formula
Definition
Covij = E{[Ri - E(Ri)] [Rj- E(Rj)]}
Term
How do you obtain the correlation coefficient?
Definition
By standardizing (dividing) the covariance by the product of the individual standard deviations
Term
What is the range of possible correlation coefficients?
Definition
- Range from +1 to -1.
- +1 = perfect positive correlation. The two assets move together in a positively and completely linear manner.
- –1 = perfect negative correlation. The returns for two assets move together in a completely linear manner, but in opposite directions.
Term
Diversification
Definition
A strategy designed to reduce risk by spreading the portfolio across many investments - works because prices of different stocks do not move exactly together.
Term
When does diversification work best?
Definition
When the returns are negatively correlated, ie when they move in opposite directions so that the net effect cancels out and you make an average profit under different circumstances
Term
Why does unique risk arise?
Definition
Because many of the dangers that surround an individual company are peculiar to the company and perhaps its direct competitors
Term
From what does market risk stem?
Definition
From economy-wide perils that threaten all businesses. Market risk explains why stocks tend to move together, so that even well-diversified portfolios are exposed to market movements
Term
What is the only type of risk that matters for a diversified portfolio?
Definition
Market Risk
Term
In a portfolio, what happens to the variance and covariance terms?
Definition
The variance terms are effectively diversified away, but the covariance terms are not
Term
What have studies confirmed in regard to international portfolios?
Definition
well-structured international diversification does indeed reduce the risk of a portfolio and increase the return on portfolios of comparable risk
Term
What are long-term rates of return generally attributable to?
Definition
Long-term returns are primarily about a country’s economic performance and long-term economic performance varies across countries
Term
Inefficient Portfolio
Definition
it is possible to find another portfolio that is better in terms of both expected return and volatility.
Term
Efficient Portfolio
Definition
There is no way to reduce the volatility of the portfolio without lowering its expected return.
Term
Expected rate of return on a diversified portfolio
Definition
A weighted average of the expected returns on the securities in the portfolio
Term
Variance of a portfolio with 2 risky assets
Definition
o^2 = (wBoB)^2 + (wSoS)^2 + 2(wBoB)(wSoS)p - where p is the correlation coefficient
Term
What does the efficient frontier represent?
Definition
That set of portfolios with the maximum rate of return for every given level of risk, or the minimum risk for every level of return - portfolios of investments rather than individual securities except the assets with the highest return and the asset with the lowest risk
Term
What does the investor's utility curve specify?
Definition
The trade-offs he is willing to make between expected return and risk
Term
How does the slope of the efficient curve change as you move upward?
Definition
It decreases
Term
The optimal portfolio
Definition
The portfolio that has the highest utility for a given investor
Term
How can an investor who is seeking higher returns interact with risk-free assets?
Definition
Decide to borrow money to invest even more in the stock market.
Term
The tangent portfolio
Definition
The portfolio that generates the steepest possible line when combined with the risk-free investment
Term
What is the function of the Sharpe Ratio?
Definition
Measures the ratio of reward-to-volatility provided by a portfolio
Term
Sharpe Ratio Formula
Definition
Sharpe = (Porfolio excess return / Portfolio volatility) = (Ep - Rf) / SDp
Term
How is the Sharpe Ratio used?
Definition
The portfolio with the highest Sharpe ratio is the portfolio where the line with the risk-free investment is tangent to the efficient frontier of risky investments
Term
What provides the best possible risk and return trade-off for an investor?
Definition
Combinations of the risk-free asset and the tangent portfolio - The tangent ratio is efficient and all efficient portfolios are combinations of the risk-free asset and the tangent portfolios
Term
What will an investor's preference determine in regards to the tangent portolio and risk free investment?
Definition
How much to invest in the tangent portfolio versus the risk-free investment - ¨  Both types of investors will choose to hold the same portfolio of risky assets, the tangent portfolio, which is the efficient portfolio
Term
Function of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Definition
Allows us to identify the efficient portfolio of risky assets without having any knowledge of the expected return of each security
Term
Instead of expected return, what does the CAPM use to identify the efficient portfolio?
Definition
Uses the optimal choices investors make to identify the efficient portfolio as the market portfolio, the portfolio of all stocks and securities in the market
Term
CAPM assumptions
Definition
1. Investors can buy and sell all securities at competitive market prices (without incurring taxes or transactions costs) and can borrow and lend at the risk-free interest rate.
2. Investors hold only efficient portfolios of traded securities—portfolios that yield the maximum expected return for a given level of volatility.
3. Investors have homogeneous expectations regarding the volatilities, correlations, and expected returns of securities
Term
Homogeneous expectations
Definition
All investors have the same estimates concerning future investments and returns
Term
Capital Market Line
Definition
When the tangent line goes through the market portfolio
Term
According to CAPM, where should all individually plotted securities fall?
Definition
On the Security Market Line
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