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reasons to look at market efficiency |
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Implications for business and corporate finance Implications for investment |
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can determine is stocks are under or overvalues |
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only info not available to public can be benefitial in determining the value |
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no difference between professional and average investors. pure market information. no way to determine value |
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using prices and volume information to predict future prices (weak) |
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using economic and accounting information to predict stock prices (semi-strong) |
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Aggregate returns are higher with higher dividend ratios |
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Earnings yield can predict market returns |
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Bond spreads can predict market returns |
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Anomalies P/E Effect Small Firm Effect (January Effect) Neglected Firm Effect and Liquidity Effects Book-to-Market Ratios Post-Earnings Announcement Price Drift |
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Inside Information The ability of insiders to trade profitability in their own stock has been documented in studies by Jaffe, Seyhun, Givoly, and Palmon SEC requires all insiders to register their trading activity |
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Returns over the Short Horizon Momentum Returns over Long Horizons |
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