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Post-Cold War Predictions (Mearsheimer) |
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Realist World most likely to go to multi-polarity Leads to conflict |
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Post-Cold War Predictions (Huntington) |
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Realist There will be a clash of civilizations Cultural, religious after 9/11 |
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Post-Cold War Predictions (Fukuyama) |
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Constructivist Perspective Peaceful outlook No challenge to democracy End to major wars |
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19th Century Democracy begins to take hold Ends with Authoritarian regimes in Europe (Germany) |
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After WWII Ends in the 1970's with the fall of Latin American governments |
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End of Cold War Restored in Latin America New in African States End of Soviet Satellites |
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Fukuyama's "End of History" Overview/Definition |
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End of Mankind's ideological evolution Universal- Western Democracy as final form of government |
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Hegal's 3 main components of human make up |
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1) Desire for survival (food, water, etc.) 2) Man is rational/can reason 3) Man has innate spiritedness/desires recognition (competition until recognition is achieved) |
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History is an evolution of ideas Use ideas to figure out best form of government |
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Natural progression of ideas over time with a final fulfillment (has beginning, middle, end) Beginning- Primitive Middle- What rule is best? |
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Political philosophy based on Enlightenment ideas (individuals are equal) Limited government and guaranteed rights Capitalism |
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Democracy is a byproduct of modernization Wealthy States are Democratic |
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Economic development promoted democratization Radically transformed societies Transformed political order |
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Middle Class Owns means of production Challenge political order Want rights of nobility |
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Industrial Workers Terrible work conditions Sought greater rights and freedoms Had to join political process |
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Brings workers from countries to cities Increased communication Allowed for globalization |
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Urbanization lead to education Need educated people to continue industrialization Greatest challenge to government |
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No need for nobility running us |
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Representation Voting rights Universal Suffrage Freedoms Rights |
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Critiques of Modernization Theory |
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Definition
Does not cause democracy, wealth helps keep democratic stability Story of the west not everyone (example China) |
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Whose perspective is democratic natural progress? |
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Whose perspective is modernization? |
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Wealth Helps Create democratic stability Upper/middle class, institutions, education Increases stakes if lost/Higher cost of transition |
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3 Main Points of Democratic Peace |
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Definition
Democracies do not attack each other Democracy is the solution to the security dilemma Democracies prefer each other when it comes to trade and diplomacy |
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Identity Views on Democratic Peace |
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Definition
Set a common set of norms Value peace More inclined friendships with each other Shared political ideology |
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Liberal Views on Democratic Peace |
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Definition
Helps build complex interdependence Too deeply connected to fight/Too much to lose Part of the same organizations/follow the same laws Rely on diplomacy Talk with each other to build trust and willingness to cooperate |
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Term
Realist Views on Democratic Peace |
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Definition
Allied against non-democracies (ex Cold War) Tend to balance with each other-less likelihood of war Democracies are not a guarantee of peace but a means of survival |
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Term
How Does Democracy Help Prevent War? |
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Definition
Public Constraints- public wants peace and stability and pressure politicians Democratic Culture- Population resists war of aggression Audience Costs- Population wants peace and demands transparency in interactions with other states |
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Term
Exceptions with Democratic Peace |
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Definition
Iran- US CIA helped Sha over-rule the Prime Minister in order to prevent an alliance with the Soviet Union. Became an authoritarian monarchy Guatemala- CIA worked with military when Jacabo Arbenz began to nationalize land. Arbenz stepped down and Military government came to power. |
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Term
British Dominated Gold Standard |
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Definition
Britain was dominant empire/ 1st industrialized nation Used gold to back up the pound sterling Countries can trade by trading currency to gold at fixed rate London became financial capital of the world |
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Rigidity of the Gold Standard |
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Definition
Countries' gold in reserve began to run out during Great Depression Currencies began becoming worthless, causing investors to pull out |
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Trying to better oneself at the expense of other Countries would increase imports and cut off imports Impose high tariffs on imports Lower costs of exports Kills economy in the end |
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Powers only trade with each other in the area (ex: Europe in Great Depression) Going backwards from multilateral trade |
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1944 Meeting in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire Made up of 44 allied powers Met to reinvigorate international trade and get capital flowing |
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US's Solution Dollar pegged to gold>other states pegged to dollar Dollar became new international currency and was more flexible than gold standard |
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British Economist Advocated strong state of control Ideas lent to bretton woods: fixed exchanges rates, liberalizations of multilateral free trade, lower tariffs |
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International Monetary Fund (IMF) |
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Definition
Massive emergency reserve bank Parties that agreed donated funds (mostly US) Provides loans to countries in state of economic emergency (with conditions) |
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Term
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) |
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Definition
Gave long-term financing by way of reconstruction loans Loans went to Europe after WWII Becomes part of World Bank- Helped develop 3rd world countries |
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Term
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) |
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Definition
Intended to focus on and promote free trade Did not focus on agricultural goods |
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Definition
What you do for your favorite nation, you do for all of GATT Prevent regionalism and promote multilateral trade Reduce tariffs to encourage flow of goods |
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World Trade Organization (WTO) |
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Definition
GATT became WTO in 1990s Now has regional trade agreements NAFTA (US, Canada, Mexico) EUFTO (European Union) Asian Free Trade Agreement |
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Europe buying goods in dollars and had to repay loans Dollars wouldn't leave US because trade was bad Couldn't raise the dollar value or Europe couldn't afford anything |
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1947- Because of Europe's bad state, countries could not convert to the currency of trade Options: devaluation, deflation, reduce imports, beggar thy neighbor All options were harmful in some fom |
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Term
Marshall Plan's Motive (Political and Economic |
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Definition
Political-Contain spread of communism Economic-Aggressive measure to boost European economies and prevent crisis |
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Definition
Europe gets together and find out how much money they need from us to become stable US gave about 17 billion by 1954 |
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Marshall Plan's Conditions |
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Get rid of communists in governments Ensure survival of democracy |
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Political and Economic success No dollar shortage Europe became eve with the US |
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Europe rivaled US Japan, Singapore, North Korea, and Hong Kong thrived AKA Golden age 1950-1970 Hurt US in the long run |
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Went from hold 60% of world's gold to 20% Did not have enough gold Confidence in dollar declined Caused by and resulted in countries cashing in dollars for gold |
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1966 pulled France out of NATO Challenges US hegemony Begins to cash dollars for gold Nixon took US off gold standard in 1971 |
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Oil was balanced off the price of the dollar so OPEC began to lose money when it became floating currency and fell |
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1973- Egypt and Syria against Israel Western states back Israel Oil states retaliate by raisin oil prices 70% Showed how dependent US is for their oil |
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stagnant economy (high unemployment + slow growth) + inflation |
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End of Keynesian Economics |
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Definition
called for deregulation so businesses were free to act Wanted to raised interest rates so people would invest in US |
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Major advocates of Deregulation |
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Definition
Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan |
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The dollar now floats with the economy Dollar is still reserve currency |
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Definition
Currency that has no real value other than what is assigned to it |
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Term
Global South (Part of North-South Gap) |
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Definition
75% of world's population (generally poorest) Focus on agricultural production and raw materials Unable to develop industry Concentrated in Africa, South Asia |
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Term
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) |
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Definition
Size of States total economic activity private consumption + gross investment + government spending + exports - imports Shows growth of developing countries |
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Definition
GDP divided by population Ex: China has high GDP but low GDP per Capita |
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North is generally more developed than south Both south and north's GDP per capita increased in 1990-2008 but the gap between the two grew |
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Definition
Accumulative wealth is not determined Only include legal activities |
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Term
Problems using GDP as a sign of economic health |
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Definition
Should include freedom, healthcare, culture, economy, etc (not included in GDP) Natural disasters increase GDP, but we don't know where the money goes |
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Now $1.25 with inflation People who live on less than this are in abject poverty Proportion has fallen, however, $2-a-day has risen |
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0 is complete equality while 1 is complete inequality |
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Human Development Indicator Calculate GPA per capita using % of children with access to education, adult literacy, and life expectancy |
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Definition
Humanitarian- Disaster relief Governments send people, supplies, money, etc Short term funds |
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Definition
Helps countries develop Long term grants and loans to help countries develop Aid can increase dependency. Fail to invest in their own country. |
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Definition
Humanitarian- Need is there urgently Developmental- helps increase healthcare, build schools, focus on devloping roads, etc Can be bad if government uses for selfish means |
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Term
Millennium Challenge Cooperation |
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Definition
Created to prevent corrupt governments from receiving aid Had to apply for aid and they would judge if they deserved aid or not |
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