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Goldfarb
Risk Adjusted Return on Capital
24
Finance
Professional
02/05/2012

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Term
RAROC
Definition
Risk Adjusted Return on Capital
RAROC = Income/Risk-Adjusted Capital
accounts for riskiness of returns
Term
(4) income measures that can be used in RAROC calculation
Definition
GAAP Net Income: convenient when RAROC is used in management decisions
Statutory Net Income: calculated using Statutory accounting rules
IASB Fair Value - Remove the biases of various accounting conventions
Economic Profit - change in "economic value" of firm over period
Term
Economic Profit issues
Definition
1)ignores franchise value
2)may make less sense to management since differs from GAAP
3)hard to justify to external parties
Term
(2) unadjusted measures of Capital
Definition
1)Actual Committed Capital
2)Market Value of Equity
Term
(3) Risk Measures
Definition
1)Percentile - capital required to achieve a certain prob of ruin
2)Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE)- Mean loss of all losses that exceed a certain percentile (also TVar or Tail conditational expectation)
3)Expected PolicyHolder Deficit Ratio
Term
(3) Threshold sources
Definition
1) Bond Default prob - must select which credit rating/ doesn't account for risk of downgrade
2) Management risk preferences
3) Arbitrary default probability
Term
(5) main categories of risk
Definition
1) Market Risk
2) Credit Risk
3) Insurance Underwriting Risk
4) Operational Risk
5) Strategic Risk
Term
Risk Adjusted Measures (4)
Definition
1)Regulatory Required Capital
2)Rating Agency Required Capital
3)Economic Capital: the amount necessary for a particular objective
4) Risk Capital: Amount required to cover the risk liabilities may exceed funds provided
Term
Market Risk
Definition
Risk to investments due to changes in market variables
Term
Credit Risk
Definition
Risk of loss due to credit events
such as Reinsurance recoverables
Marketable Securities/swaps
Receivables
Term
Insurance Underwriting (3)
Definition
Loss reserves on prior years
Underwriting Risk for current policy year
Property catastrophe Risk
Term
4&5 other risks
Definition
Operational risks (failure of systems/people)
Strategic risks (related to competitors)
hard to quantify/ignored in paper
Term
Risk Aggregation
Definition
1) Empirical Analysis of Histroical Data - usually insufficent data
2) Subjective Estimate - + Can reflect tail/user intuition - as # of risk categories increase, so do dependency parameters required
3) Explicit Factor models - link variability of risks to common factors
Term
Aggregate distributions (4)
Definition
1)closed form
2)Approximation
3)Simulation Methods
4)Square root rule
Term
Types of allocation (4)
Definition
1) Proportional Allocation
2) Incremental Allocation
3) Marginal Allocation
4) Co-Measures
Term
Myers Read Capital Allocation
Definition

Marginal Method - allocate capital s.t. the marginal impact of each business is equal on the value of the put option

 

si=s - (dp/ds)-1 * (dp/dσ) * [(σiL- σL2)-(σiV - σLV)]/σ

  • (dp/ds) = partial der of put value vs s
  • s = agg cap to liability ratio
  • σiL = cov of line to agg losses all lines
  • σiV = cov of line to assets
Term
Proportional allocation based on risk measure
Definition
Calculate stand-alone values by risk and allocates into proportion to Sum.
Term
Incremental Allocation
Definition
this method determines the impact that each risk source has the agg risk measure and allocates total in proportion
Term
Co-Measures approach (kreps,ruhm-mango)
Definition
This method allocates based on the contribution each risk source has to the total risk measure
Term
3 issues with Myers-Read
Definition
1)Developed to allocate frictional costs, not risk adjusted requirements
2)Relies on Default option framework, tougher calculation
3)Mathematical limitations - assumes adding/subtracting risk doesn't change the distribution of risk. Not the case insurance applications.
Term
(5) Applications of methods
Definition
Most important:
1) Risk adjusted Performance Measurement
2)Insurance Policy Pricing
others:
3)Assesing Capital Adequacy
4)Setting Risk Management Priorities
5)Evaulating Alternative Risk Management Strategies
Term
Additional risk load to attain RAROC
Definition

RAROC ={ [P +∏ - E](1+i) - PV(L) }/

Allocated Risk Capital

∏ = risk load

Term
Multiperiod capital requirement
Definition
Risk Capital may be required for more than 1 period. Can calculate the PV of the entire amount required in the future
Term
Cost of risk capital issues
Definition
Definition of risk - shouldn't mix RAROC with CAPM, based on totally different approaches
Leverage - RAROC is artifacially leveraged because it doesn't match market value or actual capital. Losses in a business unit are also not limited by the amount of RC allocated.
Investment income on allocated capital:
not included. Need to select rate and should then consider EXCESS risk adjusted return above market returns.
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