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FRM - Schweser - Topic 5
Expected returns and the arbitrage pricing theory
8
Finance
Professional
04/07/2010

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Term
Describe the limitations of the CAPM...
Definition

- the market portfolio should be the portfolio with the highest Sharpe ratio of all possible portfolios and should include all investible assets (since the true market portfolio includes all investible assets worldwide it is often said to be unobservable)

 

- expected excess returns for the market are assumed to be known - this is based on 2 assumptions (1) investors have access to the same information and agree on the risks/returns for all assets (2) distribution probability beliefs of investors match the true distribution of returns.

Term
What does APT assume?
Definition

The arbitrage pricing theory model assumes that returns can be modeled with a multifactor regression model of the following form:

 

RN = RF + Xn,1 x b1 + ... + Xn,k x bk + un

Term
Whats the relationship between APT and CAPM?
Definition
CAPM is a special case of APT with only one factor exposure, the market risk premium.
Term
Using CAPM, what is the market portfolio, M, the portfolio with:
Definition
the portfolio with the highest sharpe ratio
Term
What distinguishes a qualified APT model from other APT models?
Definition

The qualified model's market portfolio will have the lowest risk of all possible portfolios given identical factor exposures

 

minimum amount of unexplained variation for the market portfolio - all important underlying risks are captured and all unsystematic risks diversified away.

Term
What does non-stationarity mean?
Definition
the underlying economc relationships are not constant over time.
Term
What are the two major methods for forecasting factors (in APT models)
Definition

Structural models: assume an underlying relationship between a factor and stock returns, relationships can be macroeconomc, fundamental, and/or market related.

 

Statistical models do not rely on underlying economc relationships - they rely instead on mathmatical relationships.

Term
What are the 3 types of statistical models (APT)?
Definition

- Principal component analysis - attempts to explain all factor exposures using a small number of uncorrelated exposures which do an adequate job of capturing risk.

 

- Maximum likelihood factor analysis - fits a mathmatical model to data using estimation by maximum likelihood.

 

- Asymptotic Principal Components: constructs a T-by-T covariance matrix for T months across N stocks.

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