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FRM - Schweser - Topic 20
Quantifying volatility in VaR models
5
Finance
Professional
04/18/2010

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Term
What are 3 common deviations from normality that are problematic in modeling risk...
Definition

- Fat-tailed

- Skewed (risk managers especially concerned with negative (left) skews

- unstable (if parameters of the model are not constant, eg inflation, interest rates...)

Term
Describe unconditional and conditional distributions:
Definition

Unconditional distributions - the mean and std dev are the ame for asset returns for any given day

 

conditional distributions - mean or variance of the return distribution may change over time

Term
What is a regime switching volatility model:
Definition
it assumes different market regimes exist with high or low volatility. Conditional distributions of returns are always normal with a constant mean, but either have a high or low volatility.
Term
Historical based approaches for VAR fall into 3 sub categories, what are they?
Definition

- parametric: requires specific assumptions regarding the asset returns distribution. Delta-normal is an example of a parametric approach.

 

- nonparametric approach - less restrictive than parametric. No underlying assumptions of the assets returns distribution. Most common nonparametric approach models volatility using the historical simulation method.

 

- Hybrid approach - combines techniques of both parametric & non parametric.

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