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FRM - Schweser Topic 14
Discrete probability distributions
6
Finance
Professional
04/14/2010

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Term
Describe the Bernoulli distribution and giev an example of when the Bernoulli distribution would be used?
Definition

A bernoulli distributed random variable only has two possible outcomes (success or failure).

 

Bernoulli distributed random variables are commonly used for assessing whether or not a company will default during  a specified time period.

Term
How does the binomial distribution work?
Definition
it evaluates a random variable with two possible outcomes over a series of n trials. The probability of success is constant for each trial and the trials are independent of each other.
Term
Whats the formula for the binomial probability function?
Definition

p(x) = P(X=x) = (number of ways to choose x from n) px (1-p)n-x

 

Where:

p = the probability of ' success'  on each trial (don't confuse it with p(x).

 

(number of ways to choose x from n): n! / [(n-x)! x!)

 

 

 

Term
Whats the expected value of a binomial distribution?
Definition

For a given series of n trials, the expected number of successes is given by:

 

E(X) = np

 

The variance is given by:

 

Var(x) = np(1-p)

Term
The poisson distribution... describe it:
Definition

- a discrete probability function

- used for, eg, the number of defects per batch

 

Poisson random variable X = number of successes per unit

parameter lambda (upside down Y) refers to the average or expected number of succeses per unit.

 

 

Term
Whats the Poisson distribution formula?
Definition

P(X=x) = lambdae-lambda / x!

 

 

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