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States are devoid of emotion. States do not act on impulse Decisions are made on basis of Cost-Benefit calculation. States are rational actors who follow those actions that will maximize their national interest. |
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Foreign policies are the products of political contests among the various bureaucracies: State, Defense, CIA, Treasury “Where you stand depends upon where you sit.” EX: If you are Secretary of Defense, you will probably want to go to war. |
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Standard Operating Procedures |
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Foreign Policy agencies follow SOPs SOPs do not consider the nuances of a particular situation and thus can be counterproductive |
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Critics of Rational Theory |
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Foreign policy is not necessarily created by a rational deliberative process.
Foreign policy is greatly influenced by: Political competition between agencies. Standard Operating Procedures |
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October 1962: US discovered that the Soviet Union had placed nuclear missiles in Cuba. 90 miles from the shores of the United States US policy in the Cuban Missile Crisis did not follow the rational actor theory, but Bureaucratic Politics and SOPs. |
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SOPs and the Cuban Missile Crisis |
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US Navy forces Soviet subs to surface. -Contests between doves and hawks influenced JFK's decision making Navy fails to move ships.
Surgical strike not presented to JFK Air Force had not prepared.
Soviet anti-aircraft gunner shoots down US plane. |
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Individual Decision Making |
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Foreign policy is made by a single individual – the Head of State US: The President
IDM is applicable for autocracies. |
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Foreign policy is influenced by actors across society, both inside and outside of govt. |
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Foreign policy is made by a small group of policy leaders. Ex: National Security Council (photo below) Positives: Efficiency, Secrecy Negatives: “Groupthink” – Pressure to conform is higher in small groups. Alternatives not considered. |
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Foreign policy made by a set of elites. “Foreign Policy Establishment”
Larger set than small group – hundreds. Current and former foreign policy officials Current and retired military leaders Academics Business and cultural leaders. |
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Realism: National interests (read: power, wealth) should be pursued w/o regard to morality.
Liberalism: Morality is an essential component of foreign policy. National interests are not defined by power alone but by American values, including peace, human rights, democracy. |
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Unilateralism vs. Multilateralism |
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Act alone or in concert with others |
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Isolationist Model Military Isolation - Passivism Economic Isolation – Anti Globalization
Exemplar Model: Morality matters, though US should promote democracy by example only.
Internationalism threatens to destroy democracy and intensify economic inequality.
Position of the Anti Globalization Movement. |
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Focuses on economics. Position of MNCs. Isolationism in military affairs. Internationalism and Multilateralism in Economics. Pro Globalization Opposes moralism in foreign policy. Especially in economic relations. |
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Foreign Policy Moralism Promotion of democracy and human rights should be a major component of US foreign policy. Military force may be needed to uphold democracy and HR. Pro Economic Globalization Military and Economic Internationalism. US should foster intl orgs (Multilateralism) |
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Military Internationalism Military employed only to benefit US Opposes Foreign Policy Moralism Jus in Bello or Jus ad Bellum Little concern for civilian casualties. Economic Isolationism Strict Unilateralism |
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A recent major historical event can greatly influence judgments about future events.
1930s: Evoked Set – WWI Paradigm: Isolationism Contributed to WWII
Cold War: Evoked Set – WWII Paradigm: Interventionism Contributed to Vietnam |
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President's Foreign Policy Powers |
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Definition
Commander in Chief Make Treaties Appoint Ambassadors Appoint Leaders of Foreign Policy Agencies Secretary of State, Sec of Defense |
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Congress' Foreign Policy Powers |
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Definition
Declare War Ratify Treaties Allocate Money Military, Intelligence Agencies, State Department Decide Foreign Aid Advise, Consent Secretary of State, Sec of Defense Regulate Foreign Trade |
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Congress Cedes power to president because:US Activism in Global Affairs Expanded Exponentially Belief: Central Direction Needed in US Foreign Policy |
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Authorizing Military Force |
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WWII – President seeks Declaration of War from Congress.
Circumventing Congress: Korean War – Truman unilaterally enters US into war. Bay of Pigs Vietnam |
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National Security Council |
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Established By National Security Act of 1947 -Greater centralization of foreign policy under the President. National Security Advisor (NSA) Directs NSC staff Direct Advisor to President on Foreign Policy Matters Works directly in the White House
President’s principal foreign policy advisory body. Sec of State, Defense, DNI, NSA, Treasury, Chair JCS |
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Independent President Personality |
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Strong need for power Independent decision maker Distrusts others Nationalistic Strong belief in ability to control outcomes. Thinks in terms of dichotomies. |
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Participatory Presdiential Personality |
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Less need for power. Participatory decision maker Includes others in the decision making process. Less Nationalistic Believes that state has an uncertain ability control outcomes. Demonstrates conceptual complexity. |
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Zealous beliefs can cause individuals to discount all evidence that contradicts their views. Ex: President Bush was told there were no Weapons of Mass Destruction, but he continued the way in iraq |
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Presidential Management Styles |
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Definition
-Hub in Wheel: relies on many sources for advice. Informal management style. Positives; President gains more objective and balanced advice, negatives; leaks -Pyramid: Advice is centralized.A single or few advisors. Positives;more effecient, fewer leaks. Negatives;president can have narrow perspective. Single advisor can weed out conflicting points of view |
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- Sets broad foreign policy. - Implementation left to others. - Little Oversight
Ex: Ronald Reagan Positives: Efficient Allows experts to do what they do best.
Negatives: Minimal oversight can allow irrational policies to develop. Rogue actors take advantage. |
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Set broad policy, but also directly involved in tactical areas of implementation. Ex: LB Johnson Positives: Oversight prevents rogue actors and irrational policies.
Negatives: Less efficient Can alienate |
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Roles of Foreign Policy Agencies |
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Definition
Intelligence Collection
Analysis
Communication
Implement Policy Independently make policy decisions at microlevel. |
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Secretary of State Philosophies |
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Definition
Agent for the President Condoleezza Rice w/Bush
Advocate for the State Dept and US National Interests Collin Powell w/Bush |
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Diminution of State Dept Influence |
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Definition
State Department is not as influential as in 1940s (under Marshall) Why? National Security Council Critiqued for: Risk Adverse Positions Accusation: “Captured” by Foreign Interests. |
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-Revolution in organization of US military. -Pre WWII: -War Department -Department of Navy -Little central coordination of military branches -Created Position of Sec of Defense Civilian director of the military. Created Dept of Air Force Created the Joint Chiefs of Staff JCS: The chiefs of staff of the mil branches met regularly to coordinate military planning. Chairman of JCS – Principal mil adv to Pres. 1949 - Defense Dept Created Civilian agency to direct the military. |
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1986 – Strengthened the power of the Chairman of the Joint Chief of Staff. Passed to overcome the coordination problems exp in Lebanon, Grenada in 1983 |
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Intelligence: Information that can be acted upon to protect and promote national security and other national interests.
Mission of Intelligence Agencies: Collection, Analysis, and Action |
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Director of National Intelligence |
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Definition
Coordinates activities and analysis of intelligence agencies, so that intelligence is integrated and shared. Directs all intelligence agencies. Lead intelligence advisor to President. Budgetary authority over other agencies. Current DNI: Adm. Dennis Blair |
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