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What starts financial analysis? |
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Definition
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Term
What determines a firm's profit potential? |
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Definition
Industry choice, competitive positioning, business model/synergies |
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When does a competitive advantage exist? |
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Definition
Firm earns or has potential to earn a persistently higher rate of profit or ROA |
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Two types of competitive advantages |
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Definition
Cost advantage (cost leadership) or differentiation |
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Two examples of cost advantages |
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Definition
Economies of scope, quality |
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Two examples of differentiation |
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Definition
Marketing, complementary service |
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Term
Value Chain Analysis can identify what 3 things? |
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Definition
Company capabilities, opportunities, business model design |
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Term
Name Porter's 5 (with the 6th) Forces |
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Definition
SSERBC: Substitutes, Supplier Power, Entry, Rivalry, Buyer Power, Complements |
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Term
What are the phases of the Product Life Cycle? |
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Definition
Introduction, Growth, Maturity, Decline |
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Term
How is the length of the product life cycle determined? |
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Definition
Reinvestment frequency, payback period |
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Term
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Definition
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats |
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Term
Business model analysis includes what 5 groups? |
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Definition
CRIC: cost drivers, revenue, investment size, competitive advantages |
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Term
What is a cross-sectional analysis, give example |
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Definition
Analyzes multiple firms at single point in time. Can be common size statements |
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Term
What is a time-series analysis, give example |
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Definition
Same firm over time, like % change statements or base year trend statements |
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Term
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Definition
ROA = (NI + (1-T)*Int expense)/Avg total assets |
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Term
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ROA = profit margin * asset turnover |
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Term
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Definition
[Net Income + (1-tax)*int expense]/sales |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
What are the 5 levels of ROA |
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Definition
COGS profit margin, SGA profit margin, A/R Turnover, Inventory Turnover, Fixed Asset Turnover |
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
(NET sales on account)/Avg A/R |
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Definition
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Term
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Sales/Avg NET Fixed Assets |
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Term
Three elements effecting ROA differences |
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Definition
operating leverage, cyclicality of sales, stage/length of product life cycle |
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Term
What is operating leverage? |
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Definition
Means a higher proportions of fixed costs. More risk, in general. |
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Term
What is cyclicity of sales? |
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Definition
Sensitivty to economy and associated risk |
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Term
What is the stage/length of product life cycle? |
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Definition
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Term
How is the mix of profit margin and asset turnover decided? |
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Definition
Microeconomic theory (competition and maximizing profit), business strategy (marketing and specifics), value chain analysis (higher ROA as you move down) |
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Term
Above what level is ROA competitive? |
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
(NI - preferred stock dividends)/Avg C/S |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
Most changes in ROCE come from changes in |
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Definition
ROA, not capital structure |
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Term
What is finanial leverage? |
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Definition
using lower cost creditors to increase C/S return, i.e. via tax shield |
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Term
When will C/S be better off with debt/financial leverage? |
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Definition
if ROA>after tax cost of debt and preferred dividends |
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Term
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Definition
liquiduity, solvency, credit, bankruptcy |
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Term
Cash conversion cycle or Net trade cycle = |
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Definition
days inventory held + days A/R outstanding days A/P outstanding |
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Term
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Definition
days inventory held + days A/R outstanding |
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Term
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Definition
current asses/current liabilities |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
The quick ratio, which is (Cash + Mkt Securities + Receives)/Current liabilities, is different from the current ratio essentially because it |
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Definition
doesn't include inventory |
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Term
Five ratios that determine liquidity |
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Definition
A/R, A/P, Inventory turnover, and current, quick ratios |
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Term
Six ratios that determine solvency |
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Definition
LT debt ratio, D/E ratio, Liabilities/Assets ratio, LT debt/tangible assets ratio, interest coverage ratio, operating cash flow coverage ratio |
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Term
Generally, solvency is better when the ratios go up or down? |
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Definition
DOWN for the debt ratios, UP for the coverage ratio |
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Term
What are the two different types of interest coverage ratios? Why are they different? |
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Definition
The normal one is EBIT/int expense, the other is CF.O.BIT/int expense. Essentially, instead of earnings, use cash flow. |
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Term
What are the two different types of operating cash flow coverage ratios? why are they different? |
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Definition
They differ on what they are try to cover. One covers debt, (CF from operations/avg debt), and the others covers CAPEX, (CF from operations/CAPEX) |
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Term
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Definition
Circumstances, Cash flow, Collateral, Contingencies (lawsuits), character, conditions |
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Term
What operating cash flow coverage for current debt is common for healthy firms? |
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Definition
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Term
What operating cash flow coverage for total debt is common for healthy firms? |
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Definition
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Term
What operating cash flow coverage for CAPEX means more sources of capital are needed for CAPEX? |
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Definition
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Term
What is a type I error in bankrupcty? |
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Definition
Allow survival but bankruptcy anyway, financial cost |
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Term
What is a type II error in bankruptcy? |
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Definition
Force bankrupcy but would have survived, opportunity cost |
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Term
What model allows you to predict bankruptcy? |
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Definition
Multivariate Bankruptcy Prediction Model Z-Score |
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Term
What are the ranges for assuming bankruptcy? |
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Definition
Below 1.81, high probability. Between 1.81 and 3, at risk. Above 3, little risk. I.E. further away from 0 is better. |
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Term
First step in forecasting |
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Definition
Sales & other revenue, perhaps based on CAGR |
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Term
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Definition
Compound Annual Growth Rate |
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Term
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Definition
(Current value/Base Value)^(1/n) - 1 |
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Term
Second step in forecasting |
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Definition
Operating expenses, usually % of sales or historical |
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Term
Third step in forecasting |
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Definition
Assets needed for revenue and operating expenses. Either as % of total assets prediction, or individually with cash or LT debt as the plug. Use turnover ratios for operating assets. |
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Term
What is a sawtooth pattern? |
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Definition
Large or small % change in asset in recent year. Use CAGR to fix |
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Term
Fourth step in forecasting |
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Definition
Liabilities & equity, again as either % based on total/common size, or project each with historical data or turnover ratios |
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Term
Fifth step in forecasting |
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Definition
Dependent expenses like taxes, interest, dividends, R/E. Apply the plug here. |
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Term
Sixth step in forecasting |
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Definition
CF statement, straightforward |
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Term
Seventh step in forecasting |
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Definition
Check for coherency, extreme ratios, sensitivity, operational support issues, financial feasibility issues |
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Term
Eighth step in forecasting |
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Definition
Start over if it doesn't make sense. |
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