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Financial Statement Analysis - Kamas, spring 11
Exam 3
66
Accounting
Undergraduate 4
05/04/2011

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Term
What starts financial analysis?
Definition
Strategy analysis
Term
What determines a firm's profit potential?
Definition
Industry choice, competitive positioning, business model/synergies
Term
When does a competitive advantage exist?
Definition
Firm earns or has potential to earn a persistently higher rate of profit or ROA
Term
Two types of competitive advantages
Definition
Cost advantage (cost leadership) or differentiation
Term
Two examples of cost advantages
Definition
Economies of scope, quality
Term
Two examples of differentiation
Definition
Marketing, complementary service
Term
Value Chain Analysis can identify what 3 things?
Definition
Company capabilities, opportunities, business model design
Term
Name Porter's 5 (with the 6th) Forces
Definition
SSERBC: Substitutes, Supplier Power, Entry, Rivalry, Buyer Power, Complements
Term
What are the phases of the Product Life Cycle?
Definition
Introduction, Growth, Maturity, Decline
Term
How is the length of the product life cycle determined?
Definition
Reinvestment frequency, payback period
Term
SWOT includes
Definition
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats
Term
Business model analysis includes what 5 groups?
Definition
CRIC: cost drivers, revenue, investment size, competitive advantages
Term
What is a cross-sectional analysis, give example
Definition
Analyzes multiple firms at single point in time. Can be common size statements
Term
What is a time-series analysis, give example
Definition
Same firm over time, like % change statements or base year trend statements
Term
ROA = (big formula)
Definition
ROA = (NI + (1-T)*Int expense)/Avg total assets
Term
ROA = (components)
Definition
ROA = profit margin * asset turnover
Term
Profit margin =
Definition
[Net Income + (1-tax)*int expense]/sales
Term
Asset turnover =
Definition
Sales/Avg Total Assets
Term
What are the 5 levels of ROA
Definition
COGS profit margin, SGA profit margin, A/R Turnover, Inventory Turnover, Fixed Asset Turnover
Term
COGS profit margin =
Definition
COGS/Sales
Term
SGA profit margin =
Definition
SGA/Sales
Term
A/R turnover =
Definition
(NET sales on account)/Avg A/R
Term
inventory turnover =
Definition
COGS/Avg inventory
Term
fixed asset turnover =
Definition
Sales/Avg NET Fixed Assets
Term
Three elements effecting ROA differences
Definition
operating leverage, cyclicality of sales, stage/length of product life cycle
Term
What is operating leverage?
Definition
Means a higher proportions of fixed costs. More risk, in general.
Term
What is cyclicity of sales?
Definition
Sensitivty to economy and associated risk
Term
What is the stage/length of product life cycle?
Definition
ROA peaks at maturity
Term
How is the mix of profit margin and asset turnover decided?
Definition
Microeconomic theory (competition and maximizing profit), business strategy (marketing and specifics), value chain analysis (higher ROA as you move down)
Term
Above what level is ROA competitive?
Definition
6%
Term
ROCE means
Definition
return on C/S equity
Term
ROCE =
Definition
(NI - preferred stock dividends)/Avg C/S
Term
ROCE = ROA when
Definition
company has no debt
Term
Most changes in ROCE come from changes in
Definition
ROA, not capital structure
Term
What is finanial leverage?
Definition
using lower cost creditors to increase C/S return, i.e. via tax shield
Term
When will C/S be better off with debt/financial leverage?
Definition
if ROA>after tax cost of debt and preferred dividends
Term
Four types of risk
Definition
liquiduity, solvency, credit, bankruptcy
Term
Cash conversion cycle or Net trade cycle =
Definition
days inventory held + days A/R outstanding – days A/P outstanding
Term
Operating cycle =
Definition
days inventory held + days A/R outstanding
Term
Current ratio =
Definition
current asses/current liabilities
Term
A/P turnover =
Definition
Payments/avg A/P
Term
The quick ratio, which is (Cash + Mkt Securities + Receives)/Current liabilities, is different from the current ratio essentially because it
Definition
doesn't include inventory
Term
Five ratios that determine liquidity
Definition
A/R, A/P, Inventory turnover, and current, quick ratios
Term
Six ratios that determine solvency
Definition
LT debt ratio, D/E ratio, Liabilities/Assets ratio, LT debt/tangible assets ratio, interest coverage ratio, operating cash flow coverage ratio
Term
Generally, solvency is better when the ratios go up or down?
Definition
DOWN for the debt ratios, UP for the coverage ratio
Term
What are the two different types of interest coverage ratios? Why are they different?
Definition
The normal one is EBIT/int expense, the other is CF.O.BIT/int expense. Essentially, instead of earnings, use cash flow.
Term
What are the two different types of operating cash flow coverage ratios? why are they different?
Definition
They differ on what they are try to cover. One covers debt, (CF from operations/avg debt), and the others covers CAPEX, (CF from operations/CAPEX)
Term
Six C's of Credit Risk
Definition
Circumstances, Cash flow, Collateral, Contingencies (lawsuits), character, conditions
Term
What operating cash flow coverage for current debt is common for healthy firms?
Definition
.4
Term
What operating cash flow coverage for total debt is common for healthy firms?
Definition
.2
Term
What operating cash flow coverage for CAPEX means more sources of capital are needed for CAPEX?
Definition
Less than 1.00
Term
What is a type I error in bankrupcty?
Definition
Allow survival but bankruptcy anyway, financial cost
Term
What is a type II error in bankruptcy?
Definition
Force bankrupcy but would have survived, opportunity cost
Term
What model allows you to predict bankruptcy?
Definition
Multivariate Bankruptcy Prediction Model Z-Score
Term
What are the ranges for assuming bankruptcy?
Definition
Below 1.81, high probability. Between 1.81 and 3, at risk. Above 3, little risk. I.E. further away from 0 is better.
Term
First step in forecasting
Definition
Sales & other revenue, perhaps based on CAGR
Term
What is CAGR?
Definition
Compound Annual Growth Rate
Term
CAGR =
Definition
(Current value/Base Value)^(1/n) - 1
Term
Second step in forecasting
Definition
Operating expenses, usually % of sales or historical
Term
Third step in forecasting
Definition
Assets needed for revenue and operating expenses. Either as % of total assets prediction, or individually with cash or LT debt as the plug. Use turnover ratios for operating assets.
Term
What is a sawtooth pattern?
Definition
Large or small % change in asset in recent year. Use CAGR to fix
Term
Fourth step in forecasting
Definition
Liabilities & equity, again as either % based on total/common size, or project each with historical data or turnover ratios
Term
Fifth step in forecasting
Definition
Dependent expenses like taxes, interest, dividends, R/E. Apply the plug here.
Term
Sixth step in forecasting
Definition
CF statement, straightforward
Term
Seventh step in forecasting
Definition
Check for coherency, extreme ratios, sensitivity, operational support issues, financial feasibility issues
Term
Eighth step in forecasting
Definition
Start over if it doesn't make sense.
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