Term
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Definition
results of a test should not vary based on who does the test or where it is done |
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Term
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Definition
test must be able to distinguish between those with disease and those without disease |
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Term
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Definition
test result should have a reasonable of changing decisions |
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Term
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Definition
it may not be worth doing if it is too expensive, painful, or difficult to do |
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Term
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Definition
diagnostic tests we want to evaluate - available when gold standard is not practical (too expensive, invasive, culture, time, impractical etc) |
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Term
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Definition
definitive test for the disease (reference method) |
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Term
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Definition
ability of a test to accurately classify a group of patients known to have a disease |
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Term
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Definition
ability of a test to accurately classify a group of patients to be free of a disease |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
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Term
T/F? You can improve both sensitivity and specificity. |
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Definition
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Term
If increase sensitivity, we will __________ secificity. |
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Definition
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Term
If we increase specificity, we will _________ sensitivity. |
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Definition
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Term
Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve (ROC curve) |
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Definition
plot of sensitivity on the y axis against (1-specificity) on the x axis for varying values of the threshold/cut off point |
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Term
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Definition
identify systematic errors (bias) that can affect study conclusions |
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Term
Three examples of internal validity |
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Definition
spectrum bias, verification bias (referral/work-up bias), observational bias (expectation, information bias) |
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Term
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Definition
how the study relates to your situation or patient |
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Term
2 examples of external validity |
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Definition
is the test potentially relevant to my practice, was the spectrum of patients representative of the patients who will receive the test? |
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Term
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Definition
when either sensitivity or specificity is overestimated |
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Term
When a diseased group is skewed toward highter severity that in practice - sickest of the sick |
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Definition
sensitivity is overestimated |
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Term
when non-diseased troup is skewed toward greater health - wellest of the well |
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Definition
specificity is overstimulated |
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Term
Verification (referral/work up bias) |
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Definition
use of new test to decide whether to apply gold standard |
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Term
Verification bias __________ sensitivity and _________ specificity |
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Definition
overestimates, underestimates |
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Term
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Definition
subconsciously influenced by knowledge of the cases, the more subjective the test - the more susceptible test results are to observational bias |
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Term
Diagnosis is an __________ process |
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Definition
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Term
when distinguishing abnormal from normal you will see biological variation ___________ animals and __________ animals |
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Definition
within animals, between animals |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
abnormality is associated with |
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Definition
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Term
Normal levels for a lot of measurements |
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Definition
overlap for some individuals |
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Term
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Definition
clinical signs observed are compared to profiles or descriptions of diseases we hold in our memory *not the best choice! |
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Term
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Definition
prevalence of disease for individuals with specific risk factors, frequency of occurrence of clinical signs observed within those diseases |
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Term
pathophysiological reasoning |
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Definition
system and lesion are indentified using knowledge of disease mechanisms. If a problem what is related to that problem ? |
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Term
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Definition
clinical experience, patient's risk factors, history and physical exam, previous testing - always check the database! |
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Term
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Definition
anything that will predict the presence of disease with a greater probability than chance alone |
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Term
Every time you run the same sample there should be |
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Definition
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Term
criteria for evaluating diagnostic tests |
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Definition
reliability-precision, accuracy, usefulness, and value |
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Term
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Definition
degree of agreement among repeated observations |
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Term
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Definition
degree of agreement between the observed value and the true value |
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Term
High precision and low accuracy |
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Definition
far from value, but test has high precision |
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Term
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Definition
compares results when the test is administered repeatedly by the same observer (Often assumed random differences) |
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Term
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Definition
compares the results when measurements are made by different observers (assumed random and systematic differences) |
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Term
Reliability-Precison and Accuracy |
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Definition
'test specific' intrinsic to the test |
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Term
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Definition
'context specific' dependent on test and clinical scenario |
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Term
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Definition
what you though before, based on history and clinical examination |
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Term
Post-test disease probability |
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Definition
what you thought + what you think now due to new information and test results |
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Term
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Definition
ability of a test to accurately classify a patient whose disease status is unknown |
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Term
positive predictive value (PPV) |
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Definition
probability that a patient whose test result is positive has the disease |
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Term
negative predictive value (NPV) |
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Definition
probability that a patient whose test result is negative does not have the disease |
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Term
Look at case #1 screening test |
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Definition
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Term
5 different way how you can estimate the pre-test probability of disease (some just factors, not nec. ways to estimate) |
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Definition
literature, local database, clinical judgement(history and clinical signs), does not have to be precise, may use range (sensitivity analysis) |
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Term
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
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Term
Test with high sensitivity have _______ false negative results and ______ NPV |
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Definition
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Term
When should you use a sensitive test? |
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Definition
When its advantageous to 'rule out' a diagnosis in early stages of diagnostic workup to reduce number of possible diseases in list
a false negative is dangerous/penalty for missing disease (FN animal entering country - could create serious consequences) and final phases of eradication of infectious disease |
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Term
Tests with high specificity have _____ false positive and ______ PPV |
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Definition
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Term
When to use a specific test |
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Definition
when advantageous to 'rule in' diagnosis made based on other
False positive is dangerous: if test and slaughter is measure, cost of too many FP's would be great
highly toxic treatment (cancer dignosis before chemotherapy |
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Term
|
Definition
when a test has a high sensitivity (Sn) a negative test rules out disease |
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Term
|
Definition
when a test has a high specificity (Sp) a positive test rules in disease |
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Term
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Definition
predicting the progess or outcome of the disease |
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Term
2 phases of natural history of a disease |
|
Definition
preclinical phase, clinical phase |
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Term
|
Definition
disease onset, pathologic evidence of disease, signs and symptoms |
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Term
|
Definition
signs and symptoms, medical care sought, diagnosis, tx, outcome |
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Term
Natural history of a disease |
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Definition
disease process that unfolds over time - natural history is the sequence of developments |
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Term
name 4 outcomes of disease |
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Definition
death, cure, remission, recurrence |
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Term
|
Definition
decrease or disappearance of signs and symptoms of disease |
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Term
|
Definition
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Term
|
Definition
disease phase at which disease is diagnosed |
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Term
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Definition
proportion of patients with a disease who die of it |
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Term
|
Definition
proportion of patients who are alive one years after diagnosis |
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Term
Any measures used to quantify prognosis must be.... |
|
Definition
case based (denominator is the number of indiv. with the specified disease) |
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Term
Ways of expressing prognosis |
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Definition
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Term
expressing prognosis as time |
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Definition
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Term
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Definition
length of time that half of the study population survives |
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Term
other prognosis measures (3) |
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Definition
response, remission, recurrence |
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Term
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Definition
proportion of patients showing some evidence of improvement following an intervention |
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Term
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Definition
proportion of patients entering a phase in which disease is no longer detectable |
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Term
|
Definition
proportion of patients who experience a return of disease after a disease-free interval |
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Term
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Definition
factor able to give information on the clinical outcome of each patient; identify groups of patients with the same disease who have different prognosis |
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Term
|
Definition
the disease phase at which disease is diagnosed |
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Term
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Definition
factor able to give information on the clinical outcome of each patient |
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Term
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Definition
demographic (age), disease-specific (tumor size/metastasis at time of diagnosis), comorbidities (other patient's conditions and diseases) |
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Term
|
Definition
one group of individuals with the target disorder are followed over time, the occurrence of the outcome of interest (death, recurrence, remission) is monitored |
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Term
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Definition
time measure on a subject who does not have the outcome/event under study |
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Term
2 reasons for censored observations |
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Definition
animal drops out of study before having the event (incomplete follow-up, withdrawl), animal makes it to the end of the study without having the event |
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Term
Look at the "follow up graphs" |
|
Definition
demonstrates prognosis etc. |
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Term
|
Definition
estamate the survival at each point in time when each death occurred; survival probabilities are not calculated at censoring times |
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Term
Kaplan-Meier Method equation |
|
Definition
S(t) = {(N(t)-E(t)/(N(t)}*S(Previous Event Time) |
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Term
|
Definition
proportion surviving to the time t who survived beyond time t |
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Term
|
Definition
proportion of original sample making it to time t |
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Term
Critical appraisal of studies that report prognosis |
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Definition
inception cohort, referral patterns, follow-up completeness |
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Term
|
Definition
animals are followed from a well-defined location along the course of disease (ex: onset of symptoms, time of diagnosis, beginning of tx) should be the same for all patients |
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Term
|
Definition
Avoid missing animals that died or recovered early on the disease course |
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Term
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Definition
|
|
Term
Example of how referral patterns affect external validity: |
|
Definition
referral centers for the disease are likely to see cases with worse prognosis |
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Term
|
Definition
long enough to assure every patient is followed until disease outcomes/recover |
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Term
follow-up study complete: |
|
Definition
if there is a large number of loss-to-follow up (20%) prognosis becomes inaccurate. If reasons are related to follow-up risk of bias |
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Term
Determining if a follow-up study of patients was sufficiently complete |
|
Definition
perform sensitivity analysis |
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Term
|
Definition
makes efficient use of all available data in cohort to describe prognosis |
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Term
|
Definition
help us to provide case specific prognosis information |
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|
Term
studies reporting prognosis |
|
Definition
should be clearly state the zero time, have long and complete follow up times, and account for known prognosis factors |
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Term
|
Definition
probability of having the disease P(TP); probability of NOT having the disease P(FP) |
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Term
Negative (Non-focal scan) |
|
Definition
probability of having the disease P(FN); probability of NOT having the disease P(TN) |
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Term
Post-test disease probability
(equation) |
|
Definition
pre-test disease probability + negative results = post-test disease probability |
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|
Term
Do the post-test probability questions in the PPT (causation 4th) |
|
Definition
|
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Term
|
Definition
factor that changes the risk (probability) of developing an outcome (disease) in the future |
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Term
|
Definition
cholesterol and heart disease in humans castration and prostatic cancer in dogs tv watching and childhood obesity diet and metabolic diseases in dairy cows |
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Term
|
Definition
statistical relationship between two or more events, characteristics or other variables |
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Term
|
Definition
change in one variable is responsible, directly or indirectly, for an observed change in another variable |
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Term
Do epidemiologic studies prove causation |
|
Definition
NO. Epidemiological studies cannot prove that causation occurs, but they may be useful in supporting a causal association |
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Term
|
Definition
always the possibility that na observed association is due to chance alone |
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Term
An association can be due to (4 things) |
|
Definition
chance, bias, confounding, causation! |
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Term
|
Definition
association results form errors in the study, design, implementation, or analysis |
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Term
|
Definition
relationship distorted by add'l variables (confounder), which is associated to the factor under study and the disease |
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Term
Algorithm for associations |
|
Definition
rule out random error, rule out bias, valid associton (often using criteria ex: Hill's) |
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Term
|
Definition
|
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Term
|
Definition
confounding and causation |
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Term
hierarchy of study design to establish cause-effect associations |
|
Definition
from - strength of evidence to + case report, case series, case control/cross sectional, cohort, randomized clinical trial |
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Term
|
Definition
studies designed to describe population characteristics =, such as occurrence of disease by time and place |
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Term
|
Definition
studies designed to examine etiology and casual associations |
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Term
Descriptive studies do not have |
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Definition
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|
Term
uses of descriptive studies |
|
Definition
trend analysis, surveillance, health-care planning, and hypothesis generation |
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|
Term
Is there a risk in overstepping the data in a descriptive study? |
|
Definition
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Term
|
Definition
detailed presentation of a single case, least publishable unit in med lit, asks the W questions, generally not representative of the general course of disease, successful outcome (unusual tx) |
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Term
|
Definition
Collection of cases, useful to describe clinical characteristics, clinical course of disease, and natural history of disease; surveillance: first signs of new disease; hypothesis generation |
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Term
|
Definition
study associations, comparison group; exposure to outcome |
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Term
if exposure is applied by researcher it is |
|
Definition
an experimental study (randomized controlled trial) |
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Term
|
Definition
classified based on the temporal direction of the trial |
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Term
|
Definition
defined population --> gather data on exposure and diseaes --> exposure/disease factors |
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Term
|
Definition
defined population, cases vs controls |
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Term
|
Definition
defined population with choice or circumstance --> exposed vs not exposed over time --> outcome (disease/no disease) |
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Term
|
Definition
from defined population to new data collection and hypothesized outcome of disease in the future; forcasting disease! |
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Term
retrospective cohort study |
|
Definition
use of existent datasets to track past disease over time |
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Term
2 Criteria to establish cause and effect associations |
|
Definition
ability to establish temporal sequence of events; risk of bias |
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Term
|
Definition
error in the study that produces results that depart systematically from the truth |
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Term
|
Definition
selection bias, observational (information) bias |
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Term
|
Definition
stems from an absence of comparability between groups being studied (unbalanced groups) |
|
|
Term
observational (information) bias |
|
Definition
when information on exposure, outcome, and/or covariates of interest is collected differently between groups |
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Term
|
Definition
|
|
Term
|
Definition
longitudinal study = prostpective study |
|
|
Term
prospective cohort study = |
|
Definition
concurrent cohort study = concurrent prospective study |
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|
Term
retrospective cohort study = |
|
Definition
historical cohort study = non-concurrent prospective study |
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Term
|
Definition
|
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Term
|
Definition
|
|
Term
When do we use information on incidience? Used in studies to: |
|
Definition
predict the risk to develop disease, associate risk factors to disease, predict prognosis, and evaluate new therapies |
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Term
|
Definition
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Term
|
Definition
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|
Term
measures of risk at the individual level |
|
Definition
relative risk, attributable risk |
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Term
|
Definition
ex: 'how many times MORE LIKELY' are exposed individuals to become more diseased, RELATIVE to non-exposed indiv?' |
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Term
|
Definition
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|
Term
LOOK AT RELATIVE RISK OF DISEASE INTERPRETATION SLIDE - causality iii april 16 |
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Definition
|
|
Term
|
Definition
what is the risk of disease attributable to the exposure |
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Term
|
Definition
|
|
Term
Measures of risk at the population level (2) |
|
Definition
population attributable risk and population attributable fraction |
|
|
Term
population attributable risk |
|
Definition
predicts the reduction in risk achievable if a risk factor is removed from the population |
|
|
Term
population attributable risk eqn |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
population attributable proportion |
|
Definition
measure of what proportion of disease in a population is attributable to the risk factors |
|
|
Term
Population attributable proportion |
|
Definition
AFp = AR/(Pexp * IE + (1-Pexp) * INE) |
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Term
|
Definition
Organism present in every case Isolate from case and grow in pure culture Organism causes disease when inoculated into susceptible animal Organism can be recovered from animal and identified |
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Term
|
Definition
separation of strong and weak criteria |
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|
Term
Temporality (VERY important) |
|
Definition
cause must precede effect in time, criterion is inarguable, study designs based on temporal sequence |
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Term
|
Definition
the stronger the relationship between the independent variable (risk factor) and the dependent variable (disease), less likely that relationship is due to something else or by chance |
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Term
|
Definition
does increased exposure result in more of the outcome |
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Term
|
Definition
has effect been seen by others |
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|
Term
Cats, as DH play role in trasmission of T. gondii. A study was conducted to determine the seroprevalence and risk factors for T. gondii infection in domestic casts. Serum of cats was tested. To ID risk factors for infection a questionnarie was administered to the cat owners when they visit the vet to draw blood. the study is best described as |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
study investigated the effect of lameness on repro performance on several commercial dairies. existent data collected during routine herd health and production control program was used o address the question. two groups were generated from th original dataset (cows with and without lameness). this is best described as |
|
Definition
retrospective cohort study |
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|
Term
during fall and early winter vets reported an unusual cluster of neurologic illness. horses had ataxia primarily on rear limb and muscle fasciculations or trembling. Many had acute onset. This was the first reported WNV outbreak among horses in USA |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
To compare incidence of and breed-related risk factors for gastric dilatation-volvulus (GDV) among several dog breeds, owners of dogs that did not have a history of GDV were recruited at dog shows. Information concerning the dogs' medical history, genetic background, personality, and diet was obtained from owners, and owners were contacted by mail and telephone at approximately 1-year intervals to determine whether dogs had developed GDV or died. This study is best described as: |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
A study aimed to identify risk factors for colic caused by simple colonic obstruction and distension in horses. Colic horses were recruited from 2 veterinary school clinics. Healthy horses were chosen by selecting randomly an owner from those who had brought a horse to the same Veterinary School in the previous calendar year. A questionnaire was design to identify risk factors. This study is best described as: |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
3 steps of decision making-therapy |
|
Definition
Identify objective of treatment, select treatment, specify treatment target |
|
|
Term
3 steps in how to decide which treatment to prescribe |
|
Definition
induction, deduction, faith |
|
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Term
|
Definition
no control, regression to the mean, cure and remission are outcomes of disease, misdiagnosis, 'seems to work' |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
all participants have the same chance of being assigned to each of the study groups |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
ensures groups in clinical trials are comparable, reduces risk of selection bias, most powerful method of eliminating known and unknown confounding variables |
|
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Term
|
Definition
sequence based on a random-number |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
clinicians should be UNAWARE of which treatment the next patient is receiving |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
no intervention, observation, placebo tx, standard drug tx |
|
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Term
|
Definition
effect (usually positive or beneficial) of being included in a scientific study (can be a response of the animal owner) |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
an inactive substance, means 'I do nothing' in Latin |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
beneficial and attributable to the expectation that the regimen will have an effect; not acceptable in life-threatening conditions |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
keeping individuals involved in the study unaware of the assigned intervention |
|
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Term
|
Definition
Single (owner), double (owner + vet), triple (owner + vet + person analyzing data) |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
minimize observation bias, improve patient compliance and retention, reduce co-interventions |
|
|
Term
Cats, as definitive hosts, play an important role in the transmission of Toxoplasma gondii. A study was conducted to determine the seroprevalence and risk factors for T. gondii infection in domestic cats. Serum samples of cats were tested for T. gondii antibodies. To identify the risk factors for infection with T. gondii in cats, a questionnaire was administered to the cat owners when they visit the veterinary to draw the blood sample. This study is best described as |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
A study investigated the effect of lameness on reproductive performance on several commercial dairy farms. The existent data collected during the routine herd health and production control program was used to address the question. Two groups were generated from the original dataset (cows with and without lameness). This study is best described as |
|
Definition
retrospective cohort study |
|
|
Term
During fall and early winter 1999, veterinarians with the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the New York Department of Agriculture and Markets reported an unusual cluster of neurologic illness in horses on Long Island. The investigators described twenty cases of equine neurologic illness. Horses had ataxia (95.7%), primarily rear limb (90.5%,) and muscle fasciculations or trembling (55%). Many had acute onset (90.5%). This was the first reported West Nile Virus outbreak among horses in USA. This study is best described as |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
To compare incidence of and breed-related risk factors for gastric dilatation-volvulus (GDV) among several dog breeds, owners of dogs that did not have a history of GDV were recruited at dog shows. Information concerning the dogs' medical history, genetic background, personality, and diet was obtained from owners, and owners were contacted by mail and telephone at approximately 1-year intervals to determine whether dogs had developed GDV or died. This study is best described as: |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
A study aimed to identify risk factors for colic caused by simple colonic obstruction and distension in horses. Colic horses were recruited from 2 veterinary school clinics. Healthy horses were chosen by selecting randomly an owner from those who had brought a horse to the same Veterinary School in the previous calendar year. A questionnaire was design to identify risk factors. This study is best described as: |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
Gold standard for evaluating the efficacy of therapeutic and preventative interventions |
|
Definition
randomized controlled trial |
|
|
Term
2 important features of randomized controlled trials |
|
Definition
randomization and blinding |
|
|
Term
Intention to treat analysis (2) rules |
|
Definition
use every subject who was randomized according to randomized treatment assignment; ignore compliance protocol deviations, withdrawal, and anything that happens after randomization |
|
|
Term
Compliance and Intention to treat eqn |
|
Definition
look at slides in therapy II ppt |
|
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Term
|
Definition
probability of obtaining the results observed, if there are no difference between the two groups to be compared (due to chance) |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
no real difference betwee nthe two groups to be compared |
|
|
Term
Type I error (alpha): False Positive |
|
Definition
risk of concluding that there is a difference in outcome among groups when, in fact, there is not |
|
|
Term
Type II error (beta): False negative |
|
Definition
concluding that tx does not work when in fact it does |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
the probability to identify an effect of tx, if one exists; analogous to the sensitivity of diagnostic test |
|
|
Term
|
Definition
the chance of obtaining the same results as the experiemtn is high |
|
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Term
|
Definition
small sample sized; studies with statistically non- significant results and low power are inconclusive; common problem |
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|
Term
the research plan should be formally stated where? |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
protocol for clinical trial (4) |
|
Definition
procedures for handling problem cases, procedure for informed consent, sample size calculations and procedure for analyzing results, appendices: forms |
|
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Term
|
Definition
|
|
Term
Look through owner's consent obligations |
|
Definition
|
|
Term
|
Definition
refers to the greater likelihood that studies with positive results will be published |
|
|
Term
publication bias - does it matter? (5) |
|
Definition
distorts the scientific record; hides truth;influences clinician's decision making; misleads policy makers; causes harm to patients |
|
|