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Epidemiology Block 1
Epidemiology Block 1
70
Medical
Graduate
07/14/2009

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Term
Epidemiology is founded on what 2 functions?
Definition
1. Human disease does not occur at random
2. Human disease has causal and preventative factors that are identifiable
Term
What is epidemiology
Definition
The study of the distribution of determinants of disease frequency in human populations
Term
2 Ways to study the frequency of an existing disease
Definition
Prevalent Cases - number of persons who have a disease at a point in time
Prevalence - Proportion of population with a disease at a certain time.
Term
Ways to measure frequency of diseases over time
Definition
Incident disease events - incidences of a disease during a period
Incident cases - persons who develop a disease during a period
Cumulative Incidence – proportion of new cases in a population during a specific time (a proportion)
Incidence Rate – number of cases per person-time at risk (a rate)
Term
Special types of incidence
Definition
Mortality - deaths in a population per total population over a certain time
Case fatality – proportion of persons with a disease who die to the total persons with that disease
Proportionate Mortality – Proportion of deaths due to a particular disease to total deaths
Term
3 Ways to study cases epidemiologically
Definition
Case study – study people already with disease and look at factors
Cohort study – study people without a disease and tract incidence
Randomized Control Trial – study effect of treatments versus the effects of no treatment via double blind studies
Term
Clinical Epidemiology
Definition
Clinical Epidemiology – The study of variation in the outcome of disease and of the reasons for that variation
Term
Differences between Epidemiology and Clinical Epidemiology?
Definition
The difference is study of occurrence (epidemiology) vs. outcome (Clinical ep.))
Term
Association
Definition
Statistic dependence between two variables
Term
Cause
Definition
An act or event which initiates or permits (possible with other causes) a sequence of events that leads to an effect
Term
Possible explanations of associations besides cause
Definition
Chance, Bias, Confounding, True Association
Term
Chance
Definition
"p-value" - the probability that something could have occurred by chance
Term
Bias
Definition
A systematic error in the way individuals are selected or the way observations are collected or evaluated.
Term
Types of Bias
Definition
Selection Bias - groups of exposed or unexposed subjects differ in a way that effects outcome
Recall Bias - differential recall of events
Performance Bias - difference in provision of care or application of the intervention
Term
Confounding
Definition
Presence of an additional factor that effects the outcome and is not accounted for
Term
Criteria to Judge the presence of a cause-effect relationship
Definition
Strength of Association
Consistency of the Association
Temporal Relationship
Dose-Dependent Gradient
Biologic Plausibility
Term
Strength of association
Definition
Stronger the association the less likely likely there is a confounding variable (NOT P VALUE!)
Term
Consistency of Association
Definition
Repetitive Demonstration by different studies to show the association
Term
Temporal Relationship
Definition
The cause should come before the effect
Term
Dose-Response Relationship
Definition
An increase in decrease in exposure should lead to a corresponding change in the associated outcome
this doesn't prove causation
Term
Biologic Plausibility
Definition
A known or postulated biological mechanism that explains how the exposure might reasonably alter the risk of an outcome
Term
Population
Definition
The whole collection of units from which a sample may be drawn
Term
Sample
Definition
A selected subset of a population
Term
Precision
Definition
the extent to which the same result can be obtained with repeated measures
Term
Accuracy
Definition
the degree to which a variable actually represents what it is supposed to represent
Term
Convenience Samples
Definition
A sample chosen because the subjects are easily available but not ideal, may not accurately represent the population
Term
Descriptive Studies + Examples
Definition
Designed only to describe the distribution of variable, hypothesis generating
i.e. case report, cross sectional, and case series
Term
Analytic Studies + Example
Definition
Designed to examine associations or hypothesis, have a control group and often measure risk factors or health effects of exposures
i.e. Observational (Case-control and cohort) and experimental (randomized control trial)
Term
Prevalence
Definition
The proportion of a population with a disease at a specific time. This represents the chance that a person at random has a disease
Term
Incidence
Definition
A measure of New cases of disease which occur in a population at risk during a specified period of observation
Term
Cumulative Incidence
Definition
The proportion of the population who experience an event during a stated time, describes risk (New cases of disease during observation/ population at risk at start of observation)
Term
Incidence Rate
Definition
The rate at which new cases develop in a population relative to the size of the population, the average rate (New cases of Disease / Time at risk in a population)
-presented in person-years
Term
Mortality
Definition
Incidence: Total Deaths / Total Population
Term
case fatality
Definition
Incidence: deaths due to a particular disease / number of persons with disease
Term
proportionate mortality
Definition
incidence: deaths due to a particular disease / total number of deaths
Term
t-test
Definition
compares the difference in average values between sample
Term
"Gold Test"
Definition
Test that unequivocally detects presence of a condition or disease (biopsy, cardiac catheterization etc.)
Term
True Positive
Definition
A disease is present and the test says it is present
Term
True Negative
Definition
Disease is absent and test indicates the disease is absent
Term
False Positive
Definition
Test indicates disease is present but in actuality the disease is absent
Term
False Negative
Definition
Test indicates that a disease is absent but in actuality the disease is present
Term
Sensitivity
Definition
The true positive rate, the proportion of patients with the disorder who received a positive test result
TP / (FN + TP)
Term
Specificity
Definition
True negative rate, the proportion of patients without the disorder who receive a negative result
TN / (FP + TN)
Term
Positive Predictive Value
Definition
proportion of patients with a positive test who have the disorder
TP / (TP + FP)
Term
Negative Predictive Value
Definition
proportion of patients with a negative test who are free of the disorder
TN / (TN + FN)
Term
Case-control study
Definition
Studies people already with a disease and look for factors
Looks at an outcome or don't have an outcome and look at which exposures were present.
Measures an outcome
Exposure is NOT assigned
Term
Cohort Study
Definition
Study people without a disease and track incidence
Present at beginning of study with some exposed and some not exposed
BASED ON THE EXPOSURE
HAS A CONTROL GROUP
Term
Randomized Control Trial
Definition
Study effect of treatments versus the effects of no treatment in double blind studies
Patients are exposed or not exposed then measured for outcomes
Term
P-value
Definition
indicates the probability that something occurs at random
Term
Case Series
Definition
Measurement without a control group, where present at beginning of study and measure outcomes later
on an individual
Term
Cross-sectional Study
Definition
Relationship between an exposure and an outcome where both are measured at the same time
Term
Null Hypothesis
Definition
The alternative hypothesis that on seeks to deny in order to accept the alternative hypothesis
Term
Alternative Hypothesis
Definition
An opposing hypothesis that cannot be rejected and is thus accepted upon rejection of the null hypothesis
Term
Spin
Definition
If SPecificity is high, then positive test rules-IN the diagnosis
Term
Snout
Definition
If sensitivity is high, then negative test rules-OUT the diagnosis
Term
Screening Bias
Definition
Lead time bias - the error that reduced mortality is resulting from earlier detection not more effective treatment
length bias - the error that reduced mortality because of screening causes by disproportionate detection of less aggressive disease.
Term
Odds ratio
Definition
Odds of the disease given exposure divide by odds of the disease with no exposure
this gives overall odds that a disease is caused by an exposure
Term
Type 1 Error
Definition
A false positive... when you reject the null hypothesis but it is actually true
Term
Type II Error
Definition
False Negative - Fail to reject the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false
Term
Subject Accountability
Definition
All subject need to be accounted for at the end of the study
Term
Intention to Treat
Definition
Subjects are all treated equally, no matter which group they are a part of
Term
Nominal
Definition
labels, names that have no implied order or magnitude
Term
Ordinal
Definition
Categories that have logical order and magnitude but have a separation between levels
Term
Interval
Definition
numbers or numerical levels with implied order and magnitude and constant distance between levels
Term
Numeric
Definition
Continuous data points
Term
Categorical
Definition
Non-continuous data points
Term
Internal Validity
Definition
The study is mechanically sound and is accurate without bias, confounding and chance has been ruled out
Term
External Validity
Definition
The results of a study can be generalized outside the sample set.
Term
Kurtosis
Definition
the thickness of the tails, or the variance of values at both extremes which affects the ‘peakedness’ or height of the center of the distribution
Term
Survey Research is often used in what type of study?
Definition
Cross Sectional :-)
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