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Business cycles since WWII ? |
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Avg 4-5 years Getting longer 1980's: 8-9 years 1990's 10 years |
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12-18 months Getting shorter |
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Unemployment Rate + Inflation Rate |
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Inflation caused by AD increases |
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Inflation due to increase in costs
- Increase money wage rate - Increase money prices of raw materials |
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WWII - 1960: high inflation 6% 1960's: Low inflation 2.5% 1970's: Highest inflation (P doubled) 1980-present: low 2-3% |
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Term
When AD is moved to SR Equilibrium, Inflation type? |
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Definition
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Term
When AD is moved from SR Equi. back to LR Equi, Inflation type? |
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Moves SRAS curve up and left Oil $ ↑ |
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Moves the AD down left Fed ↑ interest rates |
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Term
Real Business Cycle Theorem (RBC) |
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Definition
Business cycles caused mostly by (-)Demand Shock
Recession caused by (-)Supply Shocks
Economy always on LRAS therefore no recessions when AD shifts down
Official P never falls but actual P does Y↓ only if Yp↓ --> LRAS Shifts left
Labor Productivity ↓ causing Yp↓ |
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Firms keep valuable workers and utilize them less intensively output↓ > labor↓ therefore Y/L↓ |
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%ΔMo + %Δ Velocity = %Δ Inflation + %Δ Gdp |
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Recessions caused by Labor Hoarding Y↓ > L↓ Y/L↓ |
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