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Non Programmed Decisions- |
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A new complex decision that requires a creative solution. The decision is unique and unstructured and requires considerable judgment |
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A simple routine matter for which a manager has an established decision rule. The manager performs the decision activity on a daily basis |
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is a major part of input for nonprogrammed decisions knowing without knowing |
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Identification of the real problem is important- |
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otherwise the manager may be reacting to symptoms. |
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Selecting the “best” alternative |
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Selecting the alternative that minimally meets the decision criteria |
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Once the decision is made feedback concerning the outcomes is vital to determine success or missed opportunity |
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Never ending process. Solutions may need to be altered or revised |
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A timely decision that meets a desired objective and is acceptable to those individuals affected by it. |
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THE OUTCOME WILL BE COMPLETELY RATIONAL THE DECISION MAKER IS AWARE OF ALL THE POSSIBLE ALTERNATIVES THE DECISION MAKER CAN CALCULATE THE PROBAITY OF SUCCESS FOR EACH ALTERNATIVE |
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In the rational model the decision maker strives to |
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OPTIMIZE, that is to select the best possible alternative |
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Given the assumptions of the rational model, |
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it is unrealistic because there are time constraints and limits to knowledge and information processing capabilities. |
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BOUNDED RATIONALITY THEORY |
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developed by Herbert Simon |
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BOUNDED RATIONALITY THEORY |
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Managers are comfortable making decisions without determining all the alternatives |
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realistically portrays the management decision process Managers make decisions by rules of thumb (GUT DECISIONS) OR HEURISTICS |
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An individual’s preference for gathering information and evaluating alternatives. |
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The tendency to continue to support a failing course of action |
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Deal with Escalation of Commitment by |
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1-Split responsibility for decisions 2-Provide a graceful exit for individuals so their image is not tarnished 3-Have groups rather than individuals make the initial investment decision diffuses responsibility for failed decision |
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Z-Model of problem solving has four steps on of them being |
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An individual’s preference for gathering information and evaluating alternatives. |
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The left side of your brain is |
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the center for logic, detail and planning |
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The right side of your brain is |
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the center for creative functions |
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develop by setting goals for completing tasks, and work to attain these goals |
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develop by asking “what if” questions. Ideal is Brain Lateralized |
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Craft a vision-Plan strategically |
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fast, positive force in decision making utilized at a level below consciousness, involves learned patterns of information. |
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Appears to be a positive force in decision making it is fast |
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in his research found that managers do not appear to use a step by step approach to decision making based on intuition |
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Four stages of the creative process name two |
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is a process of reflective thought and is often conducted subconsciously. SLEEP ON IT |
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occurs when you sense a resolution to the problem “a light bulb goes on” |
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People with a “Positive Mental Attitude |
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were more successful for creative problem solving. |
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Organizational influences |
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Can either support creativity or impede efforts. Creative organizations include supportive relationships with supervisors flexible workplace and participative decision making |
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need to develop competencies in the ability to promote creativity in organizations |
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1-Responsive 2-Expected 3-Contributory 4-Proactive |
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Responding to problems that is presented to you by others because it is part of your job |
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A positive force that occurs in groups when group members stimulate new solutions to problems through the process of mutual influence and encouragement within the group |
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The group support whatever position is taken by the majority of its members. Studies show that it is most often used in judgment task (that is when a decision is a matter of preference or opinion) |
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predicts that the correct decision will emerge as an increasing number of members realize its appropriateness. Used best when the decision has a correct answer |
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time is a disadvantage of using this |
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A deterioration of mental efficiency, reality testing and moral judgment resulting from pressure within the group |
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The tendency for group discussion to produce shifts toward more extreme attitudes among members |
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group think is more likely to occur when |
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a decision must be made quickly, |
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A recent review of the decision situation in the Challenger incident identified which two variables as being important to the groupthink phenomena |
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Leadership style and time constraints |
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one of seven Symptoms of Groupthink |
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Illusion of Unanimity (The majority view and judgments are assumed to be unanimous) |
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The leader should avoid stating preferences and expectations at the outset |
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Once a consensus is reached, encourage the group to rethink its position by reexamining the alternatives, welcome dissent. |
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reduces apprehension and overcomes two common problems that can produce group brainstorm failure (production blocking and evaluation apprehension) |
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occurs when listening to others, individuals are distracted from their own ideas |
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the fear that others might respond negatively to their ideas. |
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A structured approach to group decision making that focuses on generating alternatives and choosing one. 1-Silently list ideas 2-Record on a chart 3-Discussion limited to clarify ideas only 4-A written vote is taken |
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is valuable in its ability to generate a number of independent judgments without the requirement of a face to face meeting. |
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is an antidote for groupthink in self-managed teams |
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Involves learned patterns of behavior Decisions made on “hunches” Gut Instinct |
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