Term
order, pattern and meaning |
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Definition
We are predisposed to see __ and we find randomness, chaos, and meaninglessness unsatisfying. |
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Definition
Often we impose order, even when there is no __ to do so. |
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Definition
Tendency for people's __ to bias their interpretations of what they see. |
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Definition
Psychologists have discovered that people have faulty __ about what chance sequences look like. |
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Definition
The intuition that random events such as coin flips should alternate between heads and tails more than they do has been described by statisticians as ___. [cannot be overcome by repeated examination] |
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Term
Judgment by Representativeness |
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Definition
- Best explanation for the misperception of Random Events - tendency to assess the similarity of outcomes, instances and categories on relatively salient and even superficial features, and then use these assessments of similarity as a basis of judgment. - "Like goes with like" |
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Definition
It is the ___ of representativeness that gets us into trouble. |
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Term
Misperceptions of Random Dispersions |
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Definition
The clustering illusion also affects our assessments of spatial dispersions. |
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Definition
With __ it is always possible to spot the most anomalous features of the data and build a favorable statistical analysis around them. |
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Term
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Definition
When two variables are related, but imperfectly so, extreme values on one of the variables tend to be matched by less extreme values on the other. - When one score is extreme, its counterpart tends to be closer to the average. |
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Term
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Definition
The tendency to fail to recognize statistical regression when it occurs and instead to "explain" the observed phenomena with superfluous and often complicated causal theories. |
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Term
Clustering Illusion & Regression Fallacy |
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Definition
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