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Chapter 11 Book notes from Fin 300
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Finance
Undergraduate 3
04/20/2015

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Term
Expected Returns
Definition
Return on a risky assets expected in the futuree
Term
Risk Premium
Definition
as the differece between the return on risky investment and that on a risky-free investment and we calculated the historical risk premium on same difference investment
Term
Risk Premium
Definition
as the differences between the expected return on risk investment and the certain return on a risk-free investment
Term
Math: Risk Premium
Definition

Expected return − Risk free ratio 

 

 

E(RU) --- RF

Term
Expected Return
Definition
on a security or other asset is simple equal to the sum of the possible return multiplied by their probabilities
Term
Math: Expected Return
Definition
= Sum of the possible return X probabilities
Term
Calculating Variance
Definition

1. determine the squared deviations from the expected return 

2. multiply each possible squared deviation by its probability 

3. the standard deviation as always is the square root of the variance 

Term
Math: Variance =
Definition
σ2u= .50 X (10)2 + .50 X (-10)2 = .01
Term
Math: Standard deviation
Definition
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Term
Portfolios
Definition
group of asset such as stocks and bonds held by an investor
Term
Protfolios Weight
Definition
% of a portfolios total value in  particular asset
Term
Math: Portfolio Weight
Definition

1st asset = 50

2nd asset = 150 

 

50 + 150 = 200

 

% of 1st asset = 50/200

% of 2nd asset = 150/200

 

Term
Portfolio Expected Return
Definition

more directly 

 

Work no matter how many assets there are in portofolios

 

Term
Annoucement Surprise and Expected Return
Definition
have measured volatility by looking at the difference between the actual return on an asset or portfolio, R and the expected return (E(R))
Term
Expected and Unexpected Return
Definition
The return on anyt stock traded in a financial market is composed of two part
Term
Financial Market is composed of two parts
Definition

1. the normal or expected return from the stock is the part of the return that share holders in the market predict or expect

 

2. of the return on the sock is the uncertain or risky part 

Term
Math: Total Return =
Definition

Expected Return  +  Unexpected Return 

 

R= E(R) + U

Term
Unexpected Return
Definition
will be positive or negative
Term
Avg. value of u will be
Definition
Zero
Term
Return =
Definition
The expected Return
Term
Annoucement and News
Definition
impact depends on how much of that figurae is new information
Term
Annoucement and News
Definition
  • The use of the word (discount here is different from the use of the term in computing (PV) but the sprit is the same here 
  • this difference between the actual results and the forecast, one %$ point 
  • innovation or suprise 
  • Less an impact on the market  because the market already knew much of it 
Term
Math: Annoucment =
Definition
Expected +  Surpise
Term
Risk Systematic
Definition
A risk that influences a large number or asset ( Market Risk)
Term
Risk Unsystematic
Definition
A risk that affects at most a small number of assets ( unique or asset- specfici risk)
Term
Unanticipated part
Definition
of the return, that portion resulting from surpise is the true risk of any investment
Term
Components of return
Definition
Even the most norrow and peculiar bit of news about comapny ripples through the economy
Term
Math: Components of Return
Definition

R = E(R) + U 

 

or 

 

R= E(R) + Systematic portion + Unsystematic portion 

Term
Systematic Risk
Definition
Market Risk
Term
M
Definition
Systematic
Term
ε
Definition
Unsystematic Portion
Term
Effect of diversification
Definition
Market History
Term
Standard deviation Decrease
Definition
as the number  of securities is increase
Term
The Effect of diversification
Definition
The small differences exists because the portfolio securities and time period
Term
Principles of Diversification
Definition
The process of spreading an investment across assets (and thereby forming a portfolio) is called diversification
Term
Meaning of Principles of diversification
Definition
spreading an investment across a number of asset will eliminate some, but not all of the risk
Term
Unsystematic risk
Definition
one that is particular to a single assets or at most a small group
Term
Unsystematic Risk
Definition
is essentially eliminated by diversification, so a relatively large portfolio has almost no unsystematic risk
Term
Systematic risk affects
Definition
almost all assets to some degree
Term
Systematic risk and non-diversifiable
Definition
risk are used interchangeable
Term
Total Risk =
Definition
Systematic Risk + Unstematic Risk
Term
Other names for Systematic Risk
Definition
Non-diversifiable risk
Term
Other names for Unsystematic Risk
Definition

diversifiable risk 

Unique risk 

asset-specific risk 

Term
Meaning of Systematic Risk
Definition
The expected retrun on a risky asset depends only on that asset's sysematic risk
Term
Since unsystematic risk can be
Definition
eliminated at virtually no cost ( by diversificyng), there is no reward for bearing it
Term
Expected Return on Assets
Definition
depends only on that asset's sysematic risk
Term
Beat coefficient
Definition
  • amount of systematic risk present in a particular risky asset relative to that in average asset
  • tell us how much systematic risk a particular asset has relative to an average asset
Term
Expect Return and thus the risk premium
Definition
on an depends only on its systematic risk
Term
Portfolio Beta
Definition
can be calculated just like a portfolio expected return
Term
If we had a large number of assets in a portfolio
Definition
we would multiply each assets by beta by its portfolio weight and then add the result  up to get the portfolio's beta
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