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Assessing Risk
N/A
16
Finance
Undergraduate 4
04/21/2015

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Cards

Term
Risk
Definition
- The possibilty that some loss might occur
Term
Sources of Risk
Definition

- Production and yield

- Market and price

- Business and financial

- Technology and obsolescence

- Casualty loss

- Social and legal

- Human

Term
Production and Yield Risk
Definition
- variability in yields and production caused by factors such as weather, disease, pests, genetic variation and timing of practices
Term
Market and Price Risk
Definition
- Variability and unpredictability of prices
Term
Business Risk
Definition

- ield, output price, and input prices

- associated with characteristics of business

Term
Financial Risk
Definition
- risk associated with financing, meeting fixed financial obligations
Term
Technology and Obsolescence Risk
Definition
- new technology can make current methods obsolete
Term
Casualty Loss
Definition
- loss of assets due to fire, wind, hail, flood and theft
Term
Social and Legal Risk
Definition
- government programs and regulations
Term
Human Risk
Definition
- the character, health and behavior of individuals
Term
Risk Rated Management Strategies
Definition

- start with the assignment of probabilistic outcomes

- expected outcome is the one most likely to occur, most likely price, yield and costs

 

Term
Risk Management Rules of Thumb
Definition

1. There are no certain profits

2. Higher profits tend to be associated with higher risks of loss

3. There is no "best" strategy

4. Good strategies improve the odds or chance for success

5. Decisions should be evaluated with respect to objects- not hindsight

6. Good decisions sometimes have bad outcomes

7. Good strategies, over time, will produce good results

Term
Business Risk
Definition

- risk of inherent in the firm, independent of the way the firm is financed

- generally reflected in the variability of net operating income or net cash flows

Term
Sources of Business Risk
Definition

- Market prices

- Input prices

- Yields

Term
Financial Risk
Definition

- added variability of the net cash flows of the owners equity that result from the fixed financial obligation associated with debt financing

- indicates that finacial risk is determined by the degree of business risk inherent in the firm and the relation which is determined by the financing decision

Term
Risk Balancing
Definition

- a change in business risk from some external source could change the level of total risk if all other variables remain unchanged

- if price support programs changed by the level of business risk increased, the total level of risk would increase

- if the level of total risk excedded the constraint level, adjustment in financial risk would be necessary to maintain total risk at the constrained level

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